Prediction: FC Metso vs KeuPa
| FC Metso | Draw | KeuPa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 76% | 13% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Metso (rating 1556 vs 1486).
- High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Metso | KeuPa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.5 | 1.9 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/33/17% | 0/29/71% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 7 | 2.9 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Metso 0–1–0 KeuPa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Finland Kolmonen | KeuPa | 0-0 | FC Metso |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JPS | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 7 | 24 |
| 2 | FCJ Blackbird | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 19 | 18 |
| 3 | FC Metso | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 14 | 18 |
| 4 | JJK/2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 21 | 12 |
| 5 | Komeetat | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 10 |
| 6 | Savon Pallo | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 10 |
| 7 | KeuPa | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 7 |
| 8 | FC Vaajakoski II | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Metso | KeuPa |
|---|---|---|
| JJK/2 | 3-2 W | 3-5 L |
| FCJ Blackbird | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Komeetat | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| FC Vaajakoski II | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| JPS | 0-5 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Metso (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Metso
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | JJK/2 Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 16/06 | FCJ Blackbird Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 12/06 | Komeetat Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 03/06 | Savon Pallo Finland Kolmonen |
3-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 28/05 | FC Vaajakoski II Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | JPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | KeuPa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 06/05 | JJK/2 Finland Kolmonen |
3-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 29/04 | FCJ Blackbird Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Savon Pallo Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
KeuPa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | JPS Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 17/06 | JJK/2 Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 12/06 | FCJ Blackbird Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/06 | Komeetat Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 20/05 | FC Vaajakoski II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 15/05 | FC Metso Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 08/05 | JPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 29/04 | JJK/2 Finland Kolmonen |
1-3 | 4-3 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 24/04 | FCJ Blackbird Finland Kolmonen |
2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 17/04 | Komeetat Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Metso vs KeuPa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Metso win (76%). Probabilities: FC Metso 76%, draw 14%, KeuPa 10%.
How many goals are expected in FC Metso vs KeuPa?
The model expects 4.14 goals (FC Metso 3.05 · KeuPa 1.1), with a 53% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Metso vs KeuPa?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.

