Football · Finland Kolmonen · 19/07, 14:30

Prediction: FC Metso vs KeuPa

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.14Total
FC Metso3.05
KeuPa1.1
1X2
76% 14% 10%
FC Metso Draw KeuPa
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Metso 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DDWDLWWWDW
KeuPa 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WDWDDDWLLL
Head-to-head
FC Metso 0–1–0 KeuPa (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Metso 1556 · KeuPa 1486
FC MetsoDrawKeuPa
Our model76%14%10%
Market76%13%11%
Estimated total (ours) 4.14 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Metso (rating 1556 vs 1486).
  • High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC MetsoKeuPa
Goals for / against (FT)2.4 / 1.51.9 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.20.6 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/33/17%0/29/71%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 72.9 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 02.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Metso 010 KeuPa

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/05/26
Finland Kolmonen
KeuPa0-0FC Metso

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 JPS 10730 30724
2 FCJ Blackbird 10532 281918
3 FC Metso 9531 231418
4 JJK/2 8404 202112
5 Komeetat 10316 152010
6 Savon Pallo 10316 182610
7 KeuPa 8143 13207
8 FC Vaajakoski II 11218 15357

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC MetsoKeuPa
JJK/2 3-2 W 3-5 L
FCJ Blackbird 2-2 D 0-3 L
Komeetat 2-0 W 2-1 W
FC Vaajakoski II 3-1 W 2-2 D
JPS 0-5 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Metso (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Metso

DDWDLWWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/06 JJK/2
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 3-2 63 W
16/06 FCJ Blackbird
Finland Kolmonen
2-2 D
12/06 Komeetat
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-0 133 W
03/06 Savon Pallo
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 6-0 72 W
28/05 FC Vaajakoski II
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 3-1 61 W
22/05 JPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-5 L
15/05 KeuPa
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 D
06/05 JJK/2
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 4-1 13 W
29/04 FCJ Blackbird
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-1 94 D
18/04 Savon Pallo
Finland Kolmonen
3-3 D

KeuPa

WDWDDDWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/06 JPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-3 30 L
17/06 JJK/2
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 3-5 72 L
12/06 FCJ Blackbird
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-3 42 L
05/06 Komeetat
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 2-1 46 W
20/05 FC Vaajakoski II
Finland Kolmonen
2-2 D
15/05 FC Metso
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 D
08/05 JPS
Finland Kolmonen
3-3 D
29/04 JJK/2
Finland Kolmonen
1-3 4-3 101 W
24/04 FCJ Blackbird
Finland Kolmonen
2-2 3-3 51 D
17/04 Komeetat
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 2-1 76 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Metso vs KeuPa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Metso win (76%). Probabilities: FC Metso 76%, draw 14%, KeuPa 10%.

How many goals are expected in FC Metso vs KeuPa?

The model expects 4.14 goals (FC Metso 3.05 · KeuPa 1.1), with a 53% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Metso vs KeuPa?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.