Football · Finland Kolmonen · 28/07, 18:00

Prediction: FC Haka Juniors vs Tampere Utd II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.97Total

FC Haka Juniors1.6

Tampere Utd II2.36

1X2

25% 20% 54%

FC Haka Juniors Draw Tampere Utd II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

FC Haka Juniors 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWLWLL

Tampere Utd II 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWDLWLD

Head-to-head

FC Haka Juniors 4–2 Tampere Utd II (6 last)

Tampere Utd II3-2FC Haka Juniors
FC Haka Juniors5-0Tampere Utd II
Tampere Utd II2-3FC Haka Juniors
Tampere Utd II2-4FC Haka Juniors
Tampere Utd II3-2FC Haka Juniors
Tampere Utd II1-2FC Haka Juniors

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Haka Juniors 1496 · Tampere Utd II 1542

	FC Haka Juniors	Draw	Tampere Utd II
Our model	25%	21%	54%
Market	26%	20%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 3.97 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tampere Utd II (rating 1496 vs 1542).
H2H favours FC Haka Juniors: 4-0-2.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Haka Juniors	Tampere Utd II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 2.5	1.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	1.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	57/14/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6.2	2.1 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.50

X4.50

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.98

2 (-0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 42.00

Under 41.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:04 +1’	3.50	4.50	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Haka Juniors 4–0–2 Tampere Utd II

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Finland Kolmonen	Tampere Utd II	3-2 HT 1-2	FC Haka Juniors
04/10/25 Finland Kolmonen	FC Haka Juniors	5-0	Tampere Utd II
06/07/25 Finland Kolmonen	Tampere Utd II	2-3 HT 1-2	FC Haka Juniors
19/01/25 Europe Friendlies	Tampere Utd II	2-4 HT 1-0	FC Haka Juniors
17/08/24 Finland Kolmonen	Tampere Utd II	3-2 HT 1-1	FC Haka Juniors
29/07/23 Finland Kolmonen	Tampere Utd II	1-2 HT 0-0	FC Haka Juniors

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Lasten	12	11	1	0	49	10	34
2	TPV II	12	9	1	2	28	14	28
3	Tampere Utd II	12	8	2	2	22	12	26
4	NoPS	12	7	2	3	36	16	23
5	Ylojarvi United	12	7	1	4	27	18	22
6	FC LeKi	11	5	1	5	23	21	16
7	FC Haka Juniors	12	5	0	7	25	30	15
8	Saaksjærven Loiske	12	4	2	6	17	30	14
9	TP-T	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
10	Fish United	12	3	2	7	14	27	11
11	ACE	12	1	1	10	18	39	4
12	TP-49	12	0	1	11	8	44	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Haka Juniors	Tampere Utd II
NoPS	0-7 L	0-0 D
FC LeKi	1-4 L	2-1 W
TP-49	3-1 W	2-0 W
Fish United	3-0 W	2-0 W
ACE	5-0 W	4-1 W
Ylojarvi United	2-4 L	1-0 W
TP-T	3-1 W	2-0 W
FC Lasten	2-5 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 4 L	6 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Tampere Utd II (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Haka Juniors

LWWLWWLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	0-3	0-7	2	3	L
03/07	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-4	3	2	L
24/06	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-1	6	4	W
16/06	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
11/06	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	0-0	3-0	9	3	W
02/06	ACE Finland Kolmonen	1-0	5-0	11	3	W
28/05	Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-4	6	2	L
19/05	Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-0	6	10	W
14/05	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-1	7	2	W
07/05	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	0-3	2-5	8	3	L

Tampere Utd II

WWWWWDLWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
04/07	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	1-3	2-3	5	6	L
27/06	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
17/06	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-4	3	6	L
12/06	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
06/06	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-1	7	3	W
27/05	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	–	2-0	–	–	W
22/05	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	–	2-0	–	–	W
15/05	ACE Finland Kolmonen	3-0	4-1	5	3	W
09/05	Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Haka Juniors vs Tampere Utd II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tampere Utd II win (54%). Probabilities: FC Haka Juniors 25%, draw 20%, Tampere Utd II 54%.

How many goals are expected in FC Haka Juniors vs Tampere Utd II?

The model expects 3.97 goals (FC Haka Juniors 1.6 · Tampere Utd II 2.36), with a 54% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Haka Juniors vs Tampere Utd II?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.