Football · Finland Kolmonen · 27/07, 19:00

Prediction: PPJ/Ruoholahti vs EIF Academy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.6Total

PPJ/Ruoholahti1.35

EIF Academy3.26

1X2

12% 14% 74%

PPJ/Ruoholahti Draw EIF Academy

Markets

Over 4.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-3

Recent form · 10 last

PPJ/Ruoholahti 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDDWLDWLLW

EIF Academy 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDLWWWWW

Head-to-head

PPJ/Ruoholahti 1–1 EIF Academy (2 last)

EIF Academy10-2PPJ/Ruoholahti
PPJ/Ruoholahti2-0EIF Academy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PPJ/Ruoholahti 1475 · EIF Academy 1569

	PPJ/Ruoholahti	Draw	EIF Academy
Our model	12%	14%	74%
Market	12%	14%	74%

Estimated total (ours) 4.6 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EIF Academy (rating 1475 vs 1569).
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PPJ/Ruoholahti	EIF Academy
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.9	3.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	1.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/67/33%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4	1.6 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.1	2.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

17.50

X6.50

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.98

2 (-1.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.85

Under 4.51.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 4.55

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 15:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
X	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
2	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:13 +4’	7.50	6.50	1.22
14:19 +1’	5.75▼	6.00▼	1.30▲
15:17 +3’	7.50▲	6.50▲	1.22▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · PPJ/Ruoholahti 1–0–1 EIF Academy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Finland Kolmonen	EIF Academy	10-2 HT 5-1	PPJ/Ruoholahti
01/08/24 Finland Kolmonen	PPJ/Ruoholahti	2-0 HT 2-0	EIF Academy

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EIF Academy	11	8	1	2	46	19	25
2	ESPA	11	8	1	2	30	11	25
3	Poxyt	12	7	1	4	28	23	22
4	LePa	12	6	2	4	21	21	20
5	NuPS	12	5	4	3	22	14	19
6	LoPa	11	5	1	5	16	17	16
7	Gilla FC	12	4	2	6	25	26	14
8	MPS	12	3	3	6	10	19	12
9	PPJ/Ruoholahti	11	3	3	5	18	29	12
10	GrIFK Reservi	11	3	2	6	20	24	11
11	HooGee	12	3	1	8	18	33	10
12	EPS Reservi	11	2	3	6	17	35	9

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PPJ/Ruoholahti	EIF Academy
EPS Reservi	5-1 W	9-2 W
NuPS	1-6 L	0-2 L
LePa	1-3 L	2-3 L
LoPa	3-0 W	3-2 W
MPS	0-0 D	4-0 W
Poxyt	0-3 L	7-3 W
Gilla FC	2-1 W	3-1 W
HooGee	2-2 D	4-2 W
ESPA	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 4 L	6 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: EIF Academy (8 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

PPJ/Ruoholahti

LDDWLDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/07	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-1	5-1	4	3	W
25/06	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	1-3	1-6	2	1	L
10/06	LePa Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-3	10	4	L
04/06	LoPa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	3-0	4	6	W
28/05	MPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
22/05	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-3	4	1	L
13/05	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	–	2-1	–	–	W
07/05	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
28/04	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-2	2	1	D
23/04	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-2	2	2	L

EIF Academy

LLWDLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/07	MPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	3	4	W
25/06	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	2-1	4-2	3	1	W
17/06	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	3-2	9-2	11	1	W
10/06	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	0-1	3-1	9	4	W
05/06	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	4-2	7-3	3	4	W
27/05	LePa Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-3	6	4	L
21/05	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
15/05	LoPa Finland Kolmonen	3-0	3-2	3	1	W
07/05	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
29/04	FC Haka Finland Cup	0-3	0-7	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PPJ/Ruoholahti vs EIF Academy?

According to our model, the most likely result is an EIF Academy win (74%). Probabilities: PPJ/Ruoholahti 12%, draw 14%, EIF Academy 74%.

How many goals are expected in PPJ/Ruoholahti vs EIF Academy?

The model expects 4.6 goals (PPJ/Ruoholahti 1.35 · EIF Academy 3.26), with a 50% chance of over 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in PPJ/Ruoholahti vs EIF Academy?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.