Football · Finland Kolmonen · 28/07, 17:45

Prediction: MiPK vs LAUTP II

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.35Total
MiPK3.18
LAUTP II1.18
1X2
85% 9% 6%
MiPK Draw LAUTP II
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
MiPK 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
DWWLLWWWLW
LAUTP II 0-1-9 (W-D-L)
LLDLLLLLLL
Head-to-head
MiPK 1–0 LAUTP II (1 last)
  • LAUTP II0-2MiPK
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MiPK 1564 · LAUTP II 1373
MiPKDrawLAUTP II
Our model76%14%10%
Market93%5%2%
Estimated total (ours) 4.35 goals · Bet365 line 4.75 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MiPK (rating 1564 vs 1373).
  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MiPKLAUTP II
Goals for / against (FT)2.7 / 1.60.3 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 10.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)29/43/29%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.90.7 / 1.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 02.3 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · MiPK 100 LAUTP II

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/04/26
Finland Kolmonen
LAUTP II0-2MiPK

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kultsu FC 12921 36929
2 IPS Edustus 12831 271527
3 PeKa 12822 371726
4 MiPK 12723 311823
5 HaPK 12714 282122
6 LAUTP 12525 252617
7 KoPa 12525 172317
8 KJP 12516 191616
9 MP II 12507 252315
10 Edustus STPS 12219 13287
11 Kumu 12219 15457
12 LAUTP II 120111 4361

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMiPKLAUTP II
Kumu 5-1 W 0-4 L
Kultsu FC 2-3 L 0-8 L
KoPa 4-0 W 0-1 L
KJP 3-1 W 0-1 L
MP II 2-1 W 2-4 L
IPS Edustus 2-3 L 0-2 L
HaPK 3-4 L 0-0 D
PeKa 2-1 W 1-4 L
Edustus STPS 2-0 W 0-3 L
LAUTP 2-2 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 6 W 1 D 3 L 0 W 1 D 9 L

Better against common opponents: MiPK (9 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MiPK

DWWLLWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Kumu
Finland Kolmonen
5-1 W
02/07 Kultsu FC
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 2-3 52 L
27/06 KoPa
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 4-0 55 W
17/06 KJP
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 3-1 62 W
12/06 MP II
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 2-1 34 W
05/06 IPS Edustus
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 2-3 75 L
28/05 HaPK
Finland Kolmonen
0-4 3-4 55 L
22/05 PeKa
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 W
16/05 Edustus STPS
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 W
06/05 LAUTP
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 2-2 33 D

LAUTP II

LLDLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 LAUTP
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 L
02/07 Kumu
Finland Kolmonen
0-3 0-4 13 L
25/06 Kultsu FC
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-8 11 L
18/06 KoPa
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-1 34 L
11/06 KJP
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-1 12 L
03/06 MP II
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 2-4 14 L
28/05 IPS Edustus
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-2 21 L
23/05 HaPK
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 D
13/05 PeKa
Finland Kolmonen
1-4 L
07/05 Edustus STPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-3 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MiPK vs LAUTP II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MiPK win (85%). Probabilities: MiPK 85%, draw 9%, LAUTP II 6%.

How many goals are expected in MiPK vs LAUTP II?

The model expects 4.35 goals (MiPK 3.18 · LAUTP II 1.18), with a 54% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MiPK vs LAUTP II?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.