Football · Japan J-League · 29/08, 11:00
Prediction: Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia
Team pages: Mito Hollyhock · Machida Zelvia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Mito Hollyhock0.95
Machida Zelvia1.5
1X2
Mito Hollyhock
Draw
Machida Zelvia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Mito Hollyhock
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Machida Zelvia
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mito Hollyhock
1–4–1
Machida Zelvia
(6 last)
- Mito Hollyhock2-2Machida Zelvia
- Machida Zelvia2-2Mito Hollyhock
- Mito Hollyhock1-1Machida Zelvia
- Machida Zelvia3-0Mito Hollyhock
- Machida Zelvia2-3Mito Hollyhock
- Mito Hollyhock0-0Machida Zelvia
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Machida Zelvia (rating 1447 vs 1585).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mito Hollyhock | Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.3 | 1.9 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.5 | 2.2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0.2 | 1.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mito Hollyhock 1–4–1 Machida Zelvia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 Japan J-League | Mito Hollyhock | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Machida Zelvia |
| 14/02/26 Japan J-League | Machida Zelvia | 2-2 HT 2-2 | Mito Hollyhock |
| 24/06/23 Japan J2-League | Mito Hollyhock | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Machida Zelvia |
| 12/03/23 Japan J2-League | Machida Zelvia | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Mito Hollyhock |
| 06/07/22 Japan J2-League | Machida Zelvia | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Mito Hollyhock |
| 08/05/22 Japan J2-League | Mito Hollyhock | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Machida Zelvia |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Mito Hollyhock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 17 | Tokyo Verdy | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 18 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 19 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mito Hollyhock | Machida Zelvia |
|---|---|---|
| Kashiwa Reysol | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Tokyo Verdy | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Kashima Antlers | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Yokohama F-Marinos | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| FC Tokyo | 2-5 L | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 6 L | 4 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Machida Zelvia (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mito Hollyhock
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 15/08 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 29/04 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 24/04 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
1-3 | 2-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
Machida Zelvia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 13/05 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 06/05 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 29/04 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 11/04 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Machida Zelvia win (49%). Probabilities: Mito Hollyhock 23%, draw 28%, Machida Zelvia 49%.
How many goals are expected in Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Mito Hollyhock 0.95 · Machida Zelvia 1.5), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.