Football · Japan J-League · 06/09, 12:00
Prediction: Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-Pulse
Team pages: Kawasaki Frontale · Shimizu S-Pulse
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Kawasaki Frontale1.74
Shimizu S-Pulse1.14
1X2
Kawasaki Frontale
Draw
Shimizu S-Pulse
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Kawasaki Frontale
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Shimizu S-Pulse
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kawasaki Frontale
4–1–1
Shimizu S-Pulse
(6 last)
- Kawasaki Frontale5-3Shimizu S-Pulse
- Shimizu S-Pulse1-1Kawasaki Frontale
- Kawasaki Frontale6-0Shimizu S-Pulse
- Shimizu S-Pulse3-2Kawasaki Frontale
- Kawasaki Frontale3-2Shimizu S-Pulse
- Shimizu S-Pulse0-2Kawasaki Frontale
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kawasaki Frontale 1511 · Shimizu S-Pulse 1471
| Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Shimizu S-Pulse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 26% | 24% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.88 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kawasaki Frontale (rating 1511 vs 1471).
- H2H favours Kawasaki Frontale: 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kawasaki Frontale | Shimizu S-Pulse | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.6 | 2.4 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0 | 2.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kawasaki Frontale 4–1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/25 Japan J-League | Kawasaki Frontale | 5-3 HT 4-1 | Shimizu S-Pulse |
| 12/04/25 Japan J-League | Shimizu S-Pulse | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Kawasaki Frontale |
| 19/04/23 Japan J-League Cup | Kawasaki Frontale | 6-0 HT 2-0 | Shimizu S-Pulse |
| 08/03/23 Japan J-League Cup | Shimizu S-Pulse | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Kawasaki Frontale |
| 08/10/22 Japan J-League | Kawasaki Frontale | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Shimizu S-Pulse |
| 07/05/22 Japan J-League | Shimizu S-Pulse | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Kawasaki Frontale |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Kashima Antlers | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 12 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Mito Hollyhock | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | FC Tokyo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 9 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Kawasaki Frontale | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 12 | Gamba Osaka | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 14 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 6 |
| 15 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
| 16 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 17 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kawasaki Frontale | Shimizu S-Pulse |
|---|---|---|
| Kyoto Sanga FC | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Kashiwa Reysol | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| FC Tokyo | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Shimizu S-Pulse (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kawasaki Frontale
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
4-2 | 4-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 06/05 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
Shimizu S-Pulse
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 29/08 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 22/08 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kawasaki Frontale win (50%). Probabilities: Kawasaki Frontale 50%, draw 26%, Shimizu S-Pulse 24%.
How many goals are expected in Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Kawasaki Frontale 1.74 · Shimizu S-Pulse 1.14), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.