Football · Japan J-League · 29/08, 12:00
Prediction: Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima Antlers
Team pages: Tokyo Verdy · Kashima Antlers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Tokyo Verdy0.87
Kashima Antlers1.51
1X2
Tokyo Verdy
Draw
Kashima Antlers
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Tokyo Verdy
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Kashima Antlers
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tokyo Verdy
2–1–3
Kashima Antlers
(6 last)
- Tokyo Verdy2-1Kashima Antlers
- Kashima Antlers2-0Tokyo Verdy
- Tokyo Verdy0-1Kashima Antlers
- Kashima Antlers4-0Tokyo Verdy
- Tokyo Verdy2-1Kashima Antlers
- Kashima Antlers3-3Tokyo Verdy
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kashima Antlers (rating 1444 vs 1596).
- H2H favours Kashima Antlers: 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tokyo Verdy | Kashima Antlers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.4 | 1.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.9 | 1.9 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 2.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tokyo Verdy 2–1–3 Kashima Antlers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 Japan J-League | Tokyo Verdy | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Kashima Antlers |
| 07/03/26 Japan J-League | Kashima Antlers | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Tokyo Verdy |
| 30/11/25 Japan J-League | Tokyo Verdy | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Kashima Antlers |
| 22/02/25 Japan J-League | Kashima Antlers | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Tokyo Verdy |
| 25/08/24 Japan J-League | Tokyo Verdy | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Kashima Antlers |
| 12/05/24 Japan J-League | Kashima Antlers | 3-3 HT 2-0 | Tokyo Verdy |
Standings · Japan J-League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Mito Hollyhock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 17 | Tokyo Verdy | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 18 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 19 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tokyo Verdy | Kashima Antlers |
|---|---|---|
| Kashiwa Reysol | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Yokohama F-Marinos | 0-6 L | 4-3 W |
| Mito Hollyhock | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Machida Zelvia | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| FC Tokyo | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Kashima Antlers (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tokyo Verdy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 14/08 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 29/04 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Kashima Antlers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
1-2 | 4-3 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 06/05 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 29/04 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima Antlers?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Kashima Antlers win (51%). Probabilities: Tokyo Verdy 20%, draw 28%, Kashima Antlers 51%.
How many goals are expected in Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima Antlers?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Tokyo Verdy 0.87 · Kashima Antlers 1.51), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima Antlers?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.