Football · Japan J-League · 29/08, 12:00
Prediction: Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama
Team pages: Nagoya Grampus · Fagiano Okayama
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Nagoya Grampus1.52
Fagiano Okayama0.94
1X2
Nagoya Grampus
Draw
Fagiano Okayama
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Nagoya Grampus
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Fagiano Okayama
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nagoya Grampus
3–3–0
Fagiano Okayama
(6 last)
- Nagoya Grampus1-1Fagiano Okayama
- Fagiano Okayama1-1Nagoya Grampus
- Fagiano Okayama0-1Nagoya Grampus
- Nagoya Grampus0-0Fagiano Okayama
- Nagoya Grampus1-0Fagiano Okayama
- Fagiano Okayama0-1Nagoya Grampus
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Nagoya Grampus: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nagoya Grampus | Fagiano Okayama | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 6 | 2.3 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.2 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nagoya Grampus 3–3–0 Fagiano Okayama
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 Japan J-League | Nagoya Grampus | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Fagiano Okayama |
| 01/03/26 Japan J-League | Fagiano Okayama | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Nagoya Grampus |
| 13/09/25 Japan J-League | Fagiano Okayama | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Nagoya Grampus |
| 06/05/25 Japan J-League | Nagoya Grampus | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Fagiano Okayama |
| 02/08/21 Japan Cup | Nagoya Grampus | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Fagiano Okayama |
| 05/11/17 Japan J2-League | Fagiano Okayama | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Nagoya Grampus |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Mito Hollyhock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 17 | Tokyo Verdy | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 18 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 19 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nagoya Grampus | Fagiano Okayama |
|---|---|---|
| Shimizu S-Pulse | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Cerezo Osaka | 1-6 L | 1-2 L |
| V-Varen Nagasaki | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Fagiano Okayama (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nagoya Grampus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
1-3 | 1-6 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 29/04 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
Fagiano Okayama
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 06/05 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nagoya Grampus win (50%). Probabilities: Nagoya Grampus 50%, draw 28%, Fagiano Okayama 22%.
How many goals are expected in Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?
The model expects 2.46 goals (Nagoya Grampus 1.52 · Fagiano Okayama 0.94), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.