Football · Japan J-League · 29/08, 12:00

Prediction: Kyoto Sanga FC vs Avispa Fukuoka

Team pages: Kyoto Sanga FC · Avispa Fukuoka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

Kyoto Sanga FC1.27

Avispa Fukuoka1.23

1X2

36% 30% 34%

Kyoto Sanga FC Draw Avispa Fukuoka

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Kyoto Sanga FC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLDLLLWLDL

Avispa Fukuoka 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WLDDDDLLWL

Head-to-head

Kyoto Sanga FC 2–2–2 Avispa Fukuoka (6 last)

Avispa Fukuoka1-1Kyoto Sanga FC
Kyoto Sanga FC2-0Avispa Fukuoka
Avispa Fukuoka2-2Kyoto Sanga FC
Kyoto Sanga FC0-1Avispa Fukuoka
Avispa Fukuoka1-2Kyoto Sanga FC
Kyoto Sanga FC2-3Avispa Fukuoka

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Avispa Fukuoka (rating 1437 vs 1486).
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kyoto Sanga FC	Avispa Fukuoka
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.9	1.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.2	2.6 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 21.88

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:38

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.62 → 2.62	Pinn 2.62
X	3.06 → 3.06	Pinn 3.06
2	2.93 → 2.93	Pinn 2.93

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:34 +4’	2.62	3.06	2.93

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kyoto Sanga FC 2–2–2 Avispa Fukuoka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/05/26 Japan J-League	Avispa Fukuoka	1-1 HT 0-1	Kyoto Sanga FC
22/02/26 Japan J-League	Kyoto Sanga FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Avispa Fukuoka
21/07/25 Japan J-League	Avispa Fukuoka	2-2 HT 0-0	Kyoto Sanga FC
09/03/25 Japan J-League	Kyoto Sanga FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Avispa Fukuoka
07/07/24 Japan J-League	Avispa Fukuoka	1-2 HT 0-0	Kyoto Sanga FC
11/05/24 Japan J-League	Kyoto Sanga FC	2-3 HT 1-1	Avispa Fukuoka

Standings · Japan J-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kashiwa Reysol	3	3	0	0	9	4	9
2	Kashima Antlers	3	3	0	0	9	6	9
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3	2	1	0	8	2	7
4	Machida Zelvia	2	2	0	0	9	1	6
5	Yokohama F-Marinos	3	2	0	1	5	4	6
6	Cerezo Osaka	3	2	0	1	3	4	6
7	Mito Hollyhock	3	1	1	1	5	4	4
8	Vissel Kobe	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
9	Fagiano Okayama	3	1	1	1	2	2	4
10	Gamba Osaka	3	1	1	1	6	7	4
11	FC Tokyo	3	1	1	1	5	7	4
12	Avispa Fukuoka	3	1	0	2	5	4	3
13	Kawasaki Frontale	3	0	3	0	4	4	3
13	Nagoya Grampus	3	1	0	2	4	4	3
15	Shimizu S-Pulse	3	1	0	2	1	2	3
16	V-Varen Nagasaki	3	1	0	2	4	6	3
17	Tokyo Verdy	3	0	2	1	2	4	2
18	Kyoto Sanga FC	3	0	1	2	4	7	1
19	Urawa Red Diamonds	2	0	0	2	4	8	0
20	JEF Utd Chiba	3	0	0	3	0	9	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kyoto Sanga FC	Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0-4 L	2-2 D
Vissel Kobe	0-1 L	0-1 L
Shimizu S-Pulse	1-2 L	1-1 D
Gamba Osaka	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Avispa Fukuoka (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kyoto Sanga FC

DLDLLLWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	0-2	1-3	1	0	L
15/08	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	0-1	2-2	1	3	D
09/08	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	0-2	1-2	4	4	L
23/05	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
17/05	Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League	0-1	0-4	1	3	L
13/05	Vissel Kobe Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
10/05	Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League	0-2	0-3	5	3	L
06/05	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
02/05	Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League	1-0	1-2	8	7	L
29/04	Gamba Osaka Japan J-League	0-0	1-1	7	1	D

Avispa Fukuoka

WLDDDDLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League	1-1	2-3	8	2	L
15/08	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	2-0	3-0	4	1	W
08/08	Vissel Kobe Japan J-League	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
23/05	Vissel Kobe Japan J-League	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
10/05	Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
06/05	Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
03/05	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
29/04	Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League	1-2	2-2	3	5	D
25/04	Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
22/04	Gamba Osaka Japan J-League	2-1	2-1	5	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kyoto Sanga FC vs Avispa Fukuoka?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kyoto Sanga FC win (36%). Probabilities: Kyoto Sanga FC 36%, draw 30%, Avispa Fukuoka 34%.

How many goals are expected in Kyoto Sanga FC vs Avispa Fukuoka?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Kyoto Sanga FC 1.27 · Avispa Fukuoka 1.23), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Kyoto Sanga FC vs Avispa Fukuoka?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.