Football · Japan J-League · 29/08, 12:00
Prediction: Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka
Team pages: Vissel Kobe · Cerezo Osaka
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Vissel Kobe1.36
Cerezo Osaka1.34
1X2
Vissel Kobe
Draw
Cerezo Osaka
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Vissel Kobe
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Cerezo Osaka
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vissel Kobe
2–3–1
Cerezo Osaka
(6 last)
- Vissel Kobe0-0Cerezo Osaka
- Cerezo Osaka1-1Vissel Kobe
- Cerezo Osaka1-1Vissel Kobe
- Vissel Kobe1-3Cerezo Osaka
- Vissel Kobe2-1Cerezo Osaka
- Cerezo Osaka1-4Vissel Kobe
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cerezo Osaka (rating 1510 vs 1562).
- H2H favours Vissel Kobe: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vissel Kobe | Cerezo Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.4 | 2.2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vissel Kobe 2–3–1 Cerezo Osaka
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 Japan J-League | Vissel Kobe | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cerezo Osaka |
| 22/03/26 Japan J-League | Cerezo Osaka | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Vissel Kobe |
| 23/08/25 Japan J-League | Cerezo Osaka | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Vissel Kobe |
| 06/05/25 Japan J-League | Vissel Kobe | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Cerezo Osaka |
| 13/09/24 Japan J-League | Vissel Kobe | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Cerezo Osaka |
| 11/05/24 Japan J-League | Cerezo Osaka | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Vissel Kobe |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Mito Hollyhock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 17 | Tokyo Verdy | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 18 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 19 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vissel Kobe | Cerezo Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| V-Varen Nagasaki | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Fagiano Okayama | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vissel Kobe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 15/08 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 08/08 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/05 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 06/05 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 29/04 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
Cerezo Osaka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
3-1 | 6-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 29/04 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vissel Kobe win (36%). Probabilities: Vissel Kobe 36%, draw 28%, Cerezo Osaka 35%.
How many goals are expected in Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Vissel Kobe 1.36 · Cerezo Osaka 1.34), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.