Football · Japan J-League · 12/09, 12:00

Prediction: Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F-Marinos

Team pages: Machida Zelvia · Yokohama F-Marinos

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Machida Zelvia1.92

Yokohama F-Marinos0.82

1X2

62% 23% 14%

Machida Zelvia Draw Yokohama F-Marinos

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Machida Zelvia 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWDDWWWWDW

Yokohama F-Marinos 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLDLWLWWLD

Head-to-head

Machida Zelvia 3–1–2 Yokohama F-Marinos (6 last)

Machida Zelvia2-0Yokohama F-Marinos
Yokohama F-Marinos2-3Machida Zelvia
Yokohama F-Marinos0-0Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia0-3Yokohama F-Marinos
Machida Zelvia1-2Yokohama F-Marinos
Yokohama F-Marinos1-3Machida Zelvia

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Machida Zelvia (rating 1620 vs 1509).
H2H favours Machida Zelvia: 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Machida Zelvia	Yokohama F-Marinos
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.5	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.1	2.3 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0.1	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.84

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:22

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Pinn 1.73
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 3.90
2	4.57 → 4.57	Pinn 4.57

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:15 +7’	1.73	3.90	4.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Machida Zelvia 3–1–2 Yokohama F-Marinos

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/05/26 Japan J-League	Machida Zelvia	2-0 HT 0-0	Yokohama F-Marinos
06/02/26 Japan J-League	Yokohama F-Marinos	2-3 HT 1-3	Machida Zelvia
23/08/25 Japan J-League	Yokohama F-Marinos	0-0 HT 0-0	Machida Zelvia
31/05/25 Japan J-League	Machida Zelvia	0-3 HT 0-2	Yokohama F-Marinos
20/07/24 Japan J-League	Machida Zelvia	1-2 HT 0-2	Yokohama F-Marinos
15/06/24 Japan J-League	Yokohama F-Marinos	1-3 HT 1-1	Machida Zelvia

Standings · Japan J-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Machida Zelvia	6	5	1	0	18	5	16
2	Vissel Kobe	6	4	1	1	9	4	13
3	Kashima Antlers	6	4	0	2	13	11	12
4	Kashiwa Reysol	6	4	0	2	10	8	12
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	6	3	2	1	13	5	11
6	FC Tokyo	6	3	2	1	11	8	11
7	Yokohama F-Marinos	6	3	1	2	10	8	10
8	Fagiano Okayama	6	3	1	2	8	7	10
9	Cerezo Osaka	6	3	1	2	5	5	10
10	Kawasaki Frontale	6	2	3	1	12	9	9
11	Mito Hollyhock	6	2	3	1	11	8	9
12	Urawa Red Diamonds	6	3	0	3	12	15	9
13	Gamba Osaka	6	1	3	2	8	11	6
14	Nagoya Grampus	6	2	0	4	7	11	6
15	Kyoto Sanga FC	6	1	2	3	7	11	5
16	Avispa Fukuoka	6	1	1	4	9	10	4
17	Shimizu S-Pulse	6	1	1	4	3	7	4
18	V-Varen Nagasaki	6	1	1	4	7	14	4
19	Tokyo Verdy	6	0	3	3	2	8	3
20	JEF Utd Chiba	6	1	0	5	5	15	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Machida Zelvia	Yokohama F-Marinos
Mito Hollyhock	1-1 D	1-1 D
Urawa Red Diamonds	3-1 W	2-3 L
Tokyo Verdy	0-0 D	6-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Machida Zelvia

WWDDWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	0-0	2-1	6	0	W
29/08	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
23/08	Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League	1-1	3-1	1	1	W
15/08	JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League	2-0	4-0	8	3	W
08/08	FC Tokyo Japan J-League	2-1	5-1	5	3	W
22/05	Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League	1-0	1-0	5	1	W
17/05	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	1-0	1-1	2	2	D
13/05	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
10/05	JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League	2-0	2-0	0	1	W
06/05	Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League	0-0	2-0	4	1	W

Yokohama F-Marinos

DLDLWLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
29/08	Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League	1-1	2-3	3	4	L
22/08	Vissel Kobe Japan J-League	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
15/08	Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
07/08	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League	2-1	3-4	0	1	L
24/05	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	3-0	6-0	4	2	W
16/05	Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
10/05	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League	0-0	1-1	9	0	D
06/05	Machida Zelvia Japan J-League	0-0	0-2	1	1	L
02/05	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	1-1	1-1	4	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F-Marinos?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Machida Zelvia win (62%). Probabilities: Machida Zelvia 62%, draw 23%, Yokohama F-Marinos 14%.

How many goals are expected in Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F-Marinos?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Machida Zelvia 1.92 · Yokohama F-Marinos 0.82), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F-Marinos?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.