Football · Japan J-League · 19/09, 12:30
Prediction: Yokohama F-Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock
Team pages: Yokohama F-Marinos · Mito Hollyhock
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Yokohama F-Marinos1.78
Mito Hollyhock0.82
1X2
Yokohama F-Marinos
Draw
Mito Hollyhock
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Yokohama F-Marinos
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Mito Hollyhock
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Yokohama F-Marinos
0–2–1
Mito Hollyhock
(3 last)
- Yokohama F-Marinos1-1Mito Hollyhock
- Mito Hollyhock1-0Yokohama F-Marinos
- Mito Hollyhock2-2Yokohama F-Marinos
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yokohama F-Marinos (rating 1543 vs 1455).
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yokohama F-Marinos | Mito Hollyhock | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.6 | 1.6 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 1.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yokohama F-Marinos 0–2–1 Mito Hollyhock
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Japan J-League | Yokohama F-Marinos | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Mito Hollyhock |
| 18/03/26 Japan J-League | Mito Hollyhock | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Yokohama F-Marinos |
| 10/07/24 Japan FA Cup | Mito Hollyhock | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Yokohama F-Marinos |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 15 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 12 |
| 7 | Kashima Antlers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| 8 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | Mito Hollyhock | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 12 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 9 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 6 |
| 17 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 5 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 4 |
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yokohama F-Marinos | Mito Hollyhock |
|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Kashiwa Reysol | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Kyoto Sanga FC | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | 2-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Kashima Antlers | 3-4 L | 4-2 W |
| Tokyo Verdy | 6-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Yokohama F-Marinos (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yokohama F-Marinos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/09 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 15/08 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 07/08 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
2-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
3-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
Mito Hollyhock
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 02/09 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
2-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 15/08 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yokohama F-Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Yokohama F-Marinos win (59%). Probabilities: Yokohama F-Marinos 59%, draw 25%, Mito Hollyhock 16%.
How many goals are expected in Yokohama F-Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Yokohama F-Marinos 1.78 · Mito Hollyhock 0.82), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Yokohama F-Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.