Football · Japan J-League · 20/09, 10:00
Prediction: Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe
Team pages: Gamba Osaka · Vissel Kobe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Gamba Osaka1.38
Vissel Kobe1.41
1X2
Gamba Osaka
Draw
Vissel Kobe
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Gamba Osaka
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Vissel Kobe
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gamba Osaka
1–3–2
Vissel Kobe
(6 last)
- Gamba Osaka5-0Vissel Kobe
- Vissel Kobe2-2Gamba Osaka
- Gamba Osaka1-1Vissel Kobe
- Vissel Kobe3-2Gamba Osaka
- Gamba Osaka0-1Vissel Kobe
- Vissel Kobe2-2Gamba Osaka
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vissel Kobe (rating 1506 vs 1565).
- H2H favours Vissel Kobe: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gamba Osaka | Vissel Kobe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 1.5 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.3 | 2.1 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.3 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gamba Osaka 1–3–2 Vissel Kobe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Japan J-League | Gamba Osaka | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Vissel Kobe |
| 18/03/26 Japan J-League | Vissel Kobe | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Gamba Osaka |
| 09/11/25 Japan J-League | Gamba Osaka | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Vissel Kobe |
| 17/05/25 Japan J-League | Vissel Kobe | 3-2 HT 0-0 | Gamba Osaka |
| 23/11/24 Japan FA Cup | Gamba Osaka | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Vissel Kobe |
| 17/08/24 Japan J-League | Vissel Kobe | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Gamba Osaka |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 15 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 12 |
| 8 | Kashima Antlers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| 9 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | Mito Hollyhock | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 12 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 9 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 6 |
| 17 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 5 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 4 |
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 4 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gamba Osaka | Vissel Kobe |
|---|---|---|
| FC Tokyo | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| V-Varen Nagasaki | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Vissel Kobe (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gamba Osaka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/09 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 07/08 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
2-1 | 4-3 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/05 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Vissel Kobe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 02/09 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 15/08 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 08/08 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/05 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Vissel Kobe win (37%). Probabilities: Gamba Osaka 36%, draw 28%, Vissel Kobe 37%.
How many goals are expected in Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Gamba Osaka 1.38 · Vissel Kobe 1.41), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.