Football · Japan J-League · 19/09, 12:00
Prediction: Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga FC
Team pages: Fagiano Okayama · Kyoto Sanga FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Fagiano Okayama1.93
Kyoto Sanga FC0.92
1X2
Fagiano Okayama
Draw
Kyoto Sanga FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Fagiano Okayama
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Kyoto Sanga FC
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fagiano Okayama
2–1–3
Kyoto Sanga FC
(6 last)
- Kyoto Sanga FC5-1Fagiano Okayama
- Fagiano Okayama1-0Kyoto Sanga FC
- Kyoto Sanga FC5-0Fagiano Okayama
- Fagiano Okayama2-0Kyoto Sanga FC
- Fagiano Okayama0-0Kyoto Sanga FC
- Kyoto Sanga FC2-0Fagiano Okayama
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fagiano Okayama (rating 1549 vs 1453).
- H2H favours Kyoto Sanga FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fagiano Okayama | Kyoto Sanga FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.8 | 1.8 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.1 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fagiano Okayama 2–1–3 Kyoto Sanga FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Japan J-League | Kyoto Sanga FC | 5-1 HT 3-1 | Fagiano Okayama |
| 08/03/26 Japan J-League | Fagiano Okayama | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kyoto Sanga FC |
| 30/08/25 Japan J-League | Kyoto Sanga FC | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Fagiano Okayama |
| 15/02/25 Japan J-League | Fagiano Okayama | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Kyoto Sanga FC |
| 20/11/21 Japan J2-League | Fagiano Okayama | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Kyoto Sanga FC |
| 26/06/21 Japan J2-League | Kyoto Sanga FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Fagiano Okayama |
Standings · Japan J-League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 15 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 12 |
| 7 | Kashima Antlers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| 8 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | Mito Hollyhock | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 12 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 9 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 6 |
| 17 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 5 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 4 |
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 3 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fagiano Okayama | Kyoto Sanga FC |
|---|---|---|
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3-2 W | 0-4 L |
| V-Varen Nagasaki | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Vissel Kobe | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Fagiano Okayama (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fagiano Okayama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/09 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Kyoto Sanga FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 02/09 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 15/08 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fagiano Okayama win (60%). Probabilities: Fagiano Okayama 60%, draw 24%, Kyoto Sanga FC 16%.
How many goals are expected in Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga FC?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Fagiano Okayama 1.93 · Kyoto Sanga FC 0.92), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.