Football · Japan J-League · 20/09, 10:00
Prediction: Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol
Team pages: Machida Zelvia · Kashiwa Reysol
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
Machida Zelvia1.55
Kashiwa Reysol0.84
1X2
Machida Zelvia
Draw
Kashiwa Reysol
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Machida Zelvia
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Kashiwa Reysol
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Machida Zelvia
4–1–1
Kashiwa Reysol
(6 last)
- Machida Zelvia1-0Kashiwa Reysol
- Kashiwa Reysol0-1Machida Zelvia
- Kashiwa Reysol1-0Machida Zelvia
- Machida Zelvia3-0Kashiwa Reysol
- Kashiwa Reysol1-1Machida Zelvia
- Machida Zelvia2-0Kashiwa Reysol
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Machida Zelvia (rating 1606 vs 1554).
- H2H favours Machida Zelvia: 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Machida Zelvia | Kashiwa Reysol | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.7 | 1.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.4 | 2.6 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.2 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Machida Zelvia 4–1–1 Kashiwa Reysol
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Japan J-League | Machida Zelvia | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 14/03/26 Japan J-League | Kashiwa Reysol | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Machida Zelvia |
| 06/12/25 Japan J-League | Kashiwa Reysol | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Machida Zelvia |
| 17/05/25 Japan J-League | Machida Zelvia | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 19/10/24 Japan J-League | Kashiwa Reysol | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Machida Zelvia |
| 03/05/24 Japan J-League | Machida Zelvia | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Kashiwa Reysol |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 15 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 12 |
| 8 | Kashima Antlers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| 9 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | Mito Hollyhock | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 12 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 9 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 6 |
| 17 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 5 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 4 |
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Machida Zelvia | Kashiwa Reysol |
|---|---|---|
| Yokohama F-Marinos | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Mito Hollyhock | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| JEF Utd Chiba | 4-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Tokyo Verdy | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Machida Zelvia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/09 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 29/08 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 23/08 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 13/05 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
Kashiwa Reysol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/09 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 29/08 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 21/08 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
1-0 | 4-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 14/08 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Machida Zelvia win (53%). Probabilities: Machida Zelvia 53%, draw 28%, Kashiwa Reysol 19%.
How many goals are expected in Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol?
The model expects 2.39 goals (Machida Zelvia 1.55 · Kashiwa Reysol 0.84), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.