Football · Japan J-League · 12/09, 11:00
Prediction: Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale
Team pages: Mito Hollyhock · Kawasaki Frontale
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Mito Hollyhock1.44
Kawasaki Frontale1.42
1X2
Mito Hollyhock
Draw
Kawasaki Frontale
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Mito Hollyhock
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Kawasaki Frontale
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mito Hollyhock
0–2–2
Kawasaki Frontale
(4 last)
- Mito Hollyhock1-3Kawasaki Frontale
- Kawasaki Frontale2-2Mito Hollyhock
- Mito Hollyhock1-2Kawasaki Frontale
- Kawasaki Frontale1-1Mito Hollyhock
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kawasaki Frontale (rating 1449 vs 1502).
- H2H favours Kawasaki Frontale: 2-2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mito Hollyhock | Kawasaki Frontale | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.9 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.7 | 2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0.2 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mito Hollyhock 0–2–2 Kawasaki Frontale
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Japan J-League | Mito Hollyhock | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Kawasaki Frontale |
| 01/03/26 Japan J-League | Kawasaki Frontale | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Mito Hollyhock |
| 12/07/23 Japan FA Cup | Mito Hollyhock | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Kawasaki Frontale |
| 11/07/18 Japan Cup | Kawasaki Frontale | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Mito Hollyhock |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Kashima Antlers | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 12 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | FC Tokyo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Fagiano Okayama | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 9 |
| 11 | Mito Hollyhock | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 9 |
| 12 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 9 |
| 13 | Gamba Osaka | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
| 14 | Nagoya Grampus | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
| 15 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 5 |
| 16 | Avispa Fukuoka | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 4 |
| 17 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 18 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mito Hollyhock | Kawasaki Frontale |
|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Kyoto Sanga FC | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Kashiwa Reysol | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Tokyo Verdy | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Mito Hollyhock (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mito Hollyhock
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 02/09 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
2-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 15/08 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
Kawasaki Frontale
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
4-2 | 4-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 06/05 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mito Hollyhock win (37%). Probabilities: Mito Hollyhock 37%, draw 27%, Kawasaki Frontale 36%.
How many goals are expected in Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Mito Hollyhock 1.44 · Kawasaki Frontale 1.42), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.