Football · Japan J-League · 11/09, 12:00

Prediction: Kyoto Sanga FC vs Kashiwa Reysol

Team pages: Kyoto Sanga FC · Kashiwa Reysol

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

Kyoto Sanga FC1.26

Kashiwa Reysol1.52

1X2

30% 28% 42%

Kyoto Sanga FC Draw Kashiwa Reysol

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Kyoto Sanga FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLWLDLWD

Kashiwa Reysol 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWWWWL

Head-to-head

Kyoto Sanga FC 1–4–1 Kashiwa Reysol (6 last)

Kashiwa Reysol0-1Kyoto Sanga FC
Kyoto Sanga FC2-6Kashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol3-3Kyoto Sanga FC
Kyoto Sanga FC1-1Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga FC2-2Kashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol1-1Kyoto Sanga FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kashiwa Reysol (rating 1461 vs 1556).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kyoto Sanga FC	Kashiwa Reysol
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.8	1.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.2	2.5 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	1.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.84

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:44

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.70 → 4.16▲	Pinn 4.16
X	3.55 → 3.73▲	Pinn 3.73
2	1.96 → 1.84▼	Pinn 1.84

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:41 +24’	3.70	3.55	1.96
13:46 +118’	4.16▲	3.73▲	1.84▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kyoto Sanga FC 1–4–1 Kashiwa Reysol

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Japan J-League Play-Offs	Kashiwa Reysol	0-1 HT 0-0	Kyoto Sanga FC
30/05/26 Japan J-League Play-Offs	Kyoto Sanga FC	2-6 HT 1-3	Kashiwa Reysol
21/06/25 Japan J-League	Kashiwa Reysol	3-3 HT 2-1	Kyoto Sanga FC
02/04/25 Japan J-League	Kyoto Sanga FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Kashiwa Reysol
26/06/24 Japan J-League	Kyoto Sanga FC	2-2 HT 1-1	Kashiwa Reysol
25/02/24 Japan J-League	Kashiwa Reysol	1-1 HT 0-0	Kyoto Sanga FC

Standings · Japan J-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Machida Zelvia	6	5	1	0	18	5	16
2	Vissel Kobe	6	4	1	1	9	4	13
3	Kashima Antlers	6	4	0	2	13	11	12
4	Kashiwa Reysol	6	4	0	2	10	8	12
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	6	3	2	1	13	5	11
6	FC Tokyo	6	3	2	1	11	8	11
7	Yokohama F-Marinos	6	3	1	2	10	8	10
8	Fagiano Okayama	6	3	1	2	8	7	10
9	Cerezo Osaka	6	3	1	2	5	5	10
10	Kawasaki Frontale	6	2	3	1	12	9	9
11	Mito Hollyhock	6	2	3	1	11	8	9
12	Urawa Red Diamonds	6	3	0	3	12	15	9
13	Gamba Osaka	6	1	3	2	8	11	6
14	Nagoya Grampus	6	2	0	4	7	11	6
15	Kyoto Sanga FC	6	1	2	3	7	11	5
16	Avispa Fukuoka	6	1	1	4	9	10	4
17	Shimizu S-Pulse	6	1	1	4	3	7	4
18	V-Varen Nagasaki	6	1	1	4	7	14	4
19	Tokyo Verdy	6	0	3	3	2	8	3
20	JEF Utd Chiba	6	1	0	5	5	15	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kyoto Sanga FC	Kashiwa Reysol
Yokohama F-Marinos	1-1 D	1-0 W
Mito Hollyhock	1-3 L	2-1 W
Kawasaki Frontale	2-2 D	1-0 W
V-Varen Nagasaki	1-2 L	4-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Kashiwa Reysol (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kyoto Sanga FC

DLLLWLDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
29/08	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
22/08	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	0-2	1-3	1	0	L
15/08	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	0-1	2-2	1	3	D
09/08	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	0-2	1-2	4	4	L
23/05	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
17/05	Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League	0-1	0-4	1	3	L
13/05	Vissel Kobe Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
10/05	Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League	0-2	0-3	5	3	L
06/05	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League	1-0	1-1	7	3	D

Kashiwa Reysol

LLWWWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	0-1	0-2	9	1	L
29/08	Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	6	0	W
21/08	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	1-0	4-2	8	1	W
14/08	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	1-1	3-1	5	3	W
08/08	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	2-0	2-1	1	1	W
23/05	JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League	2-1	4-2	6	3	W
16/05	Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
10/05	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	4	0	W
06/05	Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
03/05	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	10	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kyoto Sanga FC vs Kashiwa Reysol?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kashiwa Reysol win (42%). Probabilities: Kyoto Sanga FC 30%, draw 28%, Kashiwa Reysol 42%.

How many goals are expected in Kyoto Sanga FC vs Kashiwa Reysol?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Kyoto Sanga FC 1.26 · Kashiwa Reysol 1.52), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kyoto Sanga FC vs Kashiwa Reysol?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.