Football · Japan J-League · 12/09, 12:00
Prediction: Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo
Team pages: Gamba Osaka · FC Tokyo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Gamba Osaka1.69
FC Tokyo1.11
1X2
Gamba Osaka
Draw
FC Tokyo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Gamba Osaka
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
FC Tokyo
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gamba Osaka
3–1–2
FC Tokyo
(6 last)
- Gamba Osaka2-0FC Tokyo
- FC Tokyo3-0Gamba Osaka
- Gamba Osaka0-0FC Tokyo
- FC Tokyo0-1Gamba Osaka
- FC Tokyo3-0Gamba Osaka
- Gamba Osaka3-1FC Tokyo
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Gamba Osaka: 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gamba Osaka | FC Tokyo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.1 | 1.3 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.3 | 1.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gamba Osaka 3–1–2 FC Tokyo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/25 Japan J-League | Gamba Osaka | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Tokyo |
| 25/04/25 Japan J-League | FC Tokyo | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Gamba Osaka |
| 07/08/24 Japan J-League | Gamba Osaka | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Tokyo |
| 26/05/24 Japan J-League | FC Tokyo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Gamba Osaka |
| 01/10/23 Japan J-League | FC Tokyo | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Gamba Osaka |
| 11/06/23 Japan J-League | Gamba Osaka | 3-1 HT 2-0 | FC Tokyo |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Kashima Antlers | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 12 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | FC Tokyo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Fagiano Okayama | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 9 |
| 11 | Mito Hollyhock | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 9 |
| 12 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 9 |
| 13 | Gamba Osaka | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
| 14 | Nagoya Grampus | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
| 15 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 5 |
| 16 | Avispa Fukuoka | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 4 |
| 17 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 18 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gamba Osaka | FC Tokyo |
|---|---|---|
| V-Varen Nagasaki | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | 4-3 W | 0-0 D |
| Shimizu S-Pulse | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Vissel Kobe | 5-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Gamba Osaka (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gamba Osaka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 07/08 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
2-1 | 4-3 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/05 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 29/04 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
FC Tokyo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 29/08 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/08 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 08/08 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
1-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 10/05 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gamba Osaka win (50%). Probabilities: Gamba Osaka 50%, draw 26%, FC Tokyo 24%.
How many goals are expected in Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Gamba Osaka 1.69 · FC Tokyo 1.11), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.