Football · Japan J-League · 12/09, 12:00
Prediction: V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus
Team pages: V-Varen Nagasaki · Nagoya Grampus
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.26Total
V-Varen Nagasaki1.83
Nagoya Grampus1.43
1X2
V-Varen Nagasaki
Draw
Nagoya Grampus
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
V-Varen Nagasaki
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Nagoya Grampus
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
V-Varen Nagasaki
3–1–2
Nagoya Grampus
(6 last)
- V-Varen Nagasaki1-2Nagoya Grampus
- Nagoya Grampus1-3V-Varen Nagasaki
- Nagoya Grampus3-4V-Varen Nagasaki
- V-Varen Nagasaki3-0Nagoya Grampus
- V-Varen Nagasaki1-1Nagoya Grampus
- Nagoya Grampus2-0V-Varen Nagasaki
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours V-Varen Nagasaki: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2 | 1.6 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.8 | 2 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 2.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · V-Varen Nagasaki 3–1–2 Nagoya Grampus
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Japan J-League | V-Varen Nagasaki | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Nagoya Grampus |
| 21/02/26 Japan J-League | Nagoya Grampus | 1-3 HT 0-0 | V-Varen Nagasaki |
| 15/09/18 Japan J-League | Nagoya Grampus | 3-4 HT 1-1 | V-Varen Nagasaki |
| 12/05/18 Japan J-League | V-Varen Nagasaki | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Nagoya Grampus |
| 21/10/17 Japan J2-League | V-Varen Nagasaki | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Nagoya Grampus |
| 25/06/17 Japan J2-League | Nagoya Grampus | 2-0 HT 2-0 | V-Varen Nagasaki |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Kashima Antlers | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 12 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | FC Tokyo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Fagiano Okayama | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 9 |
| 11 | Mito Hollyhock | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 9 |
| 12 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 9 |
| 13 | Gamba Osaka | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
| 14 | Nagoya Grampus | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
| 15 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 5 |
| 16 | Avispa Fukuoka | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 4 |
| 17 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 18 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | V-Varen Nagasaki | Nagoya Grampus |
|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Fagiano Okayama | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Kyoto Sanga FC | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Cerezo Osaka | 2-3 L | 1-6 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Nagoya Grampus (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
V-Varen Nagasaki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
Nagoya Grampus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
1-3 | 1-6 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus?
According to our model, the most likely result is a V-Varen Nagasaki win (46%). Probabilities: V-Varen Nagasaki 46%, draw 25%, Nagoya Grampus 29%.
How many goals are expected in V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus?
The model expects 3.26 goals (V-Varen Nagasaki 1.83 · Nagoya Grampus 1.43), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.