Football · Japan J-League · 19/09, 11:30
Prediction: Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF Utd Chiba
Team pages: Shimizu S-Pulse · JEF Utd Chiba
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Shimizu S-Pulse1.51
JEF Utd Chiba0.95
1X2
Shimizu S-Pulse
Draw
JEF Utd Chiba
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Shimizu S-Pulse
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
JEF Utd Chiba
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shimizu S-Pulse
3–2–1
JEF Utd Chiba
(6 last)
- Shimizu S-Pulse2-0JEF Utd Chiba
- JEF Utd Chiba1-3Shimizu S-Pulse
- Shimizu S-Pulse2-2JEF Utd Chiba
- JEF Utd Chiba1-0Shimizu S-Pulse
- JEF Utd Chiba3-4Shimizu S-Pulse
- Shimizu S-Pulse1-1JEF Utd Chiba
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shimizu S-Pulse 1469 · JEF Utd Chiba 1460
| Shimizu S-Pulse | Draw | JEF Utd Chiba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 28% | 22% |
| Market | 50% | 27% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Shimizu S-Pulse: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shimizu S-Pulse | JEF Utd Chiba | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.6 | 2 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shimizu S-Pulse 3–2–1 JEF Utd Chiba
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/24 Japan J2-League | Shimizu S-Pulse | 2-0 HT 2-0 | JEF Utd Chiba |
| 20/03/24 Japan J2-League | JEF Utd Chiba | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Shimizu S-Pulse |
| 16/07/23 Japan J2-League | Shimizu S-Pulse | 2-2 HT 1-1 | JEF Utd Chiba |
| 17/05/23 Japan J2-League | JEF Utd Chiba | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Shimizu S-Pulse |
| 24/07/16 Japan J2-League | JEF Utd Chiba | 3-4 HT 1-2 | Shimizu S-Pulse |
| 19/06/16 Japan J2-League | Shimizu S-Pulse | 1-1 HT 1-1 | JEF Utd Chiba |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 15 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 12 |
| 8 | Kashima Antlers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| 9 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | Mito Hollyhock | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 12 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 9 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 6 |
| 17 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 5 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 4 |
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shimizu S-Pulse | JEF Utd Chiba |
|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale | 1-3 L | 2-4 L |
| FC Tokyo | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Kashiwa Reysol | 0-1 L | 2-4 L |
| Gamba Osaka | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Fagiano Okayama | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shimizu S-Pulse
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/09 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 29/08 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 22/08 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
JEF Utd Chiba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/09 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
2-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 21/08 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF Utd Chiba?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shimizu S-Pulse win (50%). Probabilities: Shimizu S-Pulse 50%, draw 28%, JEF Utd Chiba 23%.
How many goals are expected in Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF Utd Chiba?
The model expects 2.46 goals (Shimizu S-Pulse 1.51 · JEF Utd Chiba 0.95), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF Utd Chiba?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.