Football · Japan J-League · 11/10, 07:00
Prediction: JEF Utd Chiba vs V-Varen Nagasaki
Team pages: JEF Utd Chiba · V-Varen Nagasaki
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
JEF Utd Chiba1.58
V-Varen Nagasaki1.41
1X2
JEF Utd Chiba
Draw
V-Varen Nagasaki
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
JEF Utd Chiba
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
V-Varen Nagasaki
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
JEF Utd Chiba
1–5
V-Varen Nagasaki
(6 last)
- JEF Utd Chiba0-2V-Varen Nagasaki
- V-Varen Nagasaki1-0JEF Utd Chiba
- JEF Utd Chiba1-2V-Varen Nagasaki
- V-Varen Nagasaki1-0JEF Utd Chiba
- JEF Utd Chiba1-3V-Varen Nagasaki
- V-Varen Nagasaki0-1JEF Utd Chiba
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours V-Varen Nagasaki: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JEF Utd Chiba | V-Varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.4 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.1 | 1.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JEF Utd Chiba 1–0–5 V-Varen Nagasaki
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 Japan J2-League | JEF Utd Chiba | 0-2 HT 0-1 | V-Varen Nagasaki |
| 25/05/25 Japan J2-League | V-Varen Nagasaki | 1-0 HT 0-0 | JEF Utd Chiba |
| 03/11/24 Japan J2-League | JEF Utd Chiba | 1-2 HT 1-1 | V-Varen Nagasaki |
| 25/05/24 Japan J2-League | V-Varen Nagasaki | 1-0 HT 1-0 | JEF Utd Chiba |
| 12/11/23 Japan J2-League | JEF Utd Chiba | 1-3 HT 1-1 | V-Varen Nagasaki |
| 18/02/23 Japan J2-League | V-Varen Nagasaki | 0-1 HT 0-0 | JEF Utd Chiba |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 19 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 18 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 13 |
| 8 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 8 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 6 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JEF Utd Chiba | V-Varen Nagasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Fagiano Okayama | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| FC Tokyo | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Kashiwa Reysol | 2-4 L | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: JEF Utd Chiba (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JEF Utd Chiba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/09 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
2-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 21/08 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
V-Varen Nagasaki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 02/09 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JEF Utd Chiba vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
According to our model, the most likely result is a JEF Utd Chiba win (41%). Probabilities: JEF Utd Chiba 41%, draw 26%, V-Varen Nagasaki 33%.
How many goals are expected in JEF Utd Chiba vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
The model expects 2.99 goals (JEF Utd Chiba 1.58 · V-Varen Nagasaki 1.41), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in JEF Utd Chiba vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.