Football · Japan J-League · 17/10, 12:00
Prediction: Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus
Team pages: Kashiwa Reysol · Nagoya Grampus
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.69Total
Kashiwa Reysol2.5
Nagoya Grampus1.18
1X2
Kashiwa Reysol
Draw
Nagoya Grampus
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Kashiwa Reysol
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Nagoya Grampus
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kashiwa Reysol
2–1–3
Nagoya Grampus
(6 last)
- Kashiwa Reysol1-0Nagoya Grampus
- Nagoya Grampus1-2Kashiwa Reysol
- Nagoya Grampus2-1Kashiwa Reysol
- Nagoya Grampus1-0Kashiwa Reysol
- Kashiwa Reysol1-1Nagoya Grampus
- Kashiwa Reysol0-2Nagoya Grampus
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kashiwa Reysol (rating 1583 vs 1440).
- H2H favours Nagoya Grampus: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kashiwa Reysol | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.6 | 1 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.6 | 1.6 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kashiwa Reysol 2–1–3 Nagoya Grampus
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/25 Japan J-League | Kashiwa Reysol | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Nagoya Grampus |
| 29/04/25 Japan J-League | Nagoya Grampus | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 14/07/24 Japan J-League | Nagoya Grampus | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 09/06/24 Japan J-League Cup | Nagoya Grampus | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 05/06/24 Japan J-League Cup | Kashiwa Reysol | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Nagoya Grampus |
| 16/03/24 Japan J-League | Kashiwa Reysol | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Nagoya Grampus |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 21 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 19 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 13 |
| 11 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 12 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 9 |
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 15 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 16 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 6 |
| 19 | JEF Utd Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 5 |
| 20 | Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kashiwa Reysol | Nagoya Grampus |
|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia | 4-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Cerezo Osaka | 0-2 L | 1-6 L |
| Shimizu S-Pulse | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| V-Varen Nagasaki | 4-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Kashiwa Reysol (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kashiwa Reysol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
1-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 20/09 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 11/09 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/09 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 29/08 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 21/08 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
1-0 | 4-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 14/08 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
Nagoya Grampus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/09 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
1-3 | 1-6 | 3 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kashiwa Reysol win (65%). Probabilities: Kashiwa Reysol 65%, draw 19%, Nagoya Grampus 16%.
How many goals are expected in Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?
The model expects 3.69 goals (Kashiwa Reysol 2.5 · Nagoya Grampus 1.18), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.