Football · Japan J-League · 18/10, 06:55
Prediction: Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe
Team pages: Fagiano Okayama · Vissel Kobe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Fagiano Okayama1.29
Vissel Kobe1.41
1X2
Fagiano Okayama
Draw
Vissel Kobe
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Fagiano Okayama
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Vissel Kobe
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fagiano Okayama
1–3
Vissel Kobe
(4 last)
- Vissel Kobe0-3Fagiano Okayama
- Fagiano Okayama1-4Vissel Kobe
- Fagiano Okayama1-2Vissel Kobe
- Vissel Kobe2-0Fagiano Okayama
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vissel Kobe (rating 1515 vs 1589).
- H2H favours Vissel Kobe: 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fagiano Okayama | Vissel Kobe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.1 | 1.8 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fagiano Okayama 1–0–3 Vissel Kobe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Japan J-League | Vissel Kobe | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Fagiano Okayama |
| 05/04/26 Japan J-League | Fagiano Okayama | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Vissel Kobe |
| 20/07/25 Japan J-League | Fagiano Okayama | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Vissel Kobe |
| 03/05/25 Japan J-League | Vissel Kobe | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Fagiano Okayama |
Standings · Japan J-League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 21 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 19 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 13 |
| 11 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 12 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 9 |
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 9 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 17 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 6 |
| 19 | JEF Utd Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 5 |
| 20 | Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fagiano Okayama | Vissel Kobe |
|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Tokyo Verdy | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| V-Varen Nagasaki | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Cerezo Osaka | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Vissel Kobe (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fagiano Okayama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/09 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
Vissel Kobe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/09 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 11/09 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 02/09 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 15/08 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 08/08 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Vissel Kobe win (39%). Probabilities: Fagiano Okayama 33%, draw 28%, Vissel Kobe 39%.
How many goals are expected in Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Fagiano Okayama 1.29 · Vissel Kobe 1.41), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.