Football · Japan J-League · 17/10, 09:00
Prediction: Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa Red Diamonds
Team pages: Mito Hollyhock · Urawa Red Diamonds
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
Mito Hollyhock1.55
Urawa Red Diamonds1.77
1X2
Mito Hollyhock
Draw
Urawa Red Diamonds
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Mito Hollyhock
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Urawa Red Diamonds
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mito Hollyhock
0–3
Urawa Red Diamonds
(3 last)
- Mito Hollyhock1-4Urawa Red Diamonds
- Urawa Red Diamonds2-0Mito Hollyhock
- Mito Hollyhock1-2Urawa Red Diamonds
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Urawa Red Diamonds (rating 1464 vs 1553).
- H2H favours Urawa Red Diamonds: 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mito Hollyhock | Urawa Red Diamonds | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.6 | 1.9 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mito Hollyhock 0–0–3 Urawa Red Diamonds
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Japan J-League | Mito Hollyhock | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Urawa Red Diamonds |
| 07/03/26 Japan J-League | Urawa Red Diamonds | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Mito Hollyhock |
| 14/08/19 Japan Cup | Mito Hollyhock | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Urawa Red Diamonds |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 21 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 19 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 13 |
| 11 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 12 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 9 |
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 15 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 16 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 6 |
| 19 | JEF Utd Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 5 |
| 20 | Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mito Hollyhock | Urawa Red Diamonds |
|---|---|---|
| Yokohama F-Marinos | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Avispa Fukuoka | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Kashima Antlers | 4-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Machida Zelvia | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Gamba Osaka | 1-1 D | 3-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Mito Hollyhock (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mito Hollyhock
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 02/09 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
2-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 15/08 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
Urawa Red Diamonds
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 02/09 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 07/08 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa Red Diamonds?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Urawa Red Diamonds win (42%). Probabilities: Mito Hollyhock 33%, draw 25%, Urawa Red Diamonds 42%.
How many goals are expected in Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa Red Diamonds?
The model expects 3.32 goals (Mito Hollyhock 1.55 · Urawa Red Diamonds 1.77), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa Red Diamonds?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.