Football · Japan J-League · 17/10, 08:00
Prediction: Kashima Antlers vs V-Varen Nagasaki
Team pages: Kashima Antlers · V-Varen Nagasaki
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.38Total
Kashima Antlers2.15
V-Varen Nagasaki1.23
1X2
Kashima Antlers
Draw
V-Varen Nagasaki
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Kashima Antlers
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
V-Varen Nagasaki
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kashima Antlers
6–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
(6 last)
- V-Varen Nagasaki1-2Kashima Antlers
- V-Varen Nagasaki1-3Kashima Antlers
- Kashima Antlers3-2V-Varen Nagasaki
- V-Varen Nagasaki1-2Kashima Antlers
- Kashima Antlers2-1V-Varen Nagasaki
- V-Varen Nagasaki0-2Kashima Antlers
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kashima Antlers (rating 1563 vs 1480).
- H2H favours Kashima Antlers: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kashima Antlers | V-Varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.4 | 1.5 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kashima Antlers 6–0–0 V-Varen Nagasaki
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/25 Japan FA Cup | V-Varen Nagasaki | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Kashima Antlers |
| 18/08/21 Japan Cup | V-Varen Nagasaki | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Kashima Antlers |
| 21/12/19 Japan Cup | Kashima Antlers | 3-2 HT 2-1 | V-Varen Nagasaki |
| 15/08/18 Japan J-League | V-Varen Nagasaki | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Kashima Antlers |
| 02/05/18 Japan J-League | Kashima Antlers | 2-1 HT 2-1 | V-Varen Nagasaki |
| 02/02/17 World Club Friendlies | V-Varen Nagasaki | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Kashima Antlers |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 21 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 19 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 13 |
| 11 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 12 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 9 |
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 15 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 16 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 6 |
| 19 | JEF Utd Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 5 |
| 20 | Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kashima Antlers | V-Varen Nagasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Vissel Kobe | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Nagoya Grampus | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| FC Tokyo | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Kashima Antlers (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kashima Antlers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 11/09 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/09 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
1-2 | 4-3 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
V-Varen Nagasaki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 02/09 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kashima Antlers vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kashima Antlers win (57%). Probabilities: Kashima Antlers 57%, draw 22%, V-Varen Nagasaki 20%.
How many goals are expected in Kashima Antlers vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
The model expects 3.38 goals (Kashima Antlers 2.15 · V-Varen Nagasaki 1.23), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Kashima Antlers vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.