Football · Japan J-League · 17/10, 08:00
Prediction: Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale
Team pages: Cerezo Osaka · Kawasaki Frontale
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
Cerezo Osaka1.72
Kawasaki Frontale1.29
1X2
Cerezo Osaka
Draw
Kawasaki Frontale
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Cerezo Osaka
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Kawasaki Frontale
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cerezo Osaka
3–2–1
Kawasaki Frontale
(6 last)
- Cerezo Osaka2-0Kawasaki Frontale
- Kawasaki Frontale2-0Cerezo Osaka
- Kawasaki Frontale1-1Cerezo Osaka
- Cerezo Osaka1-0Kawasaki Frontale
- Cerezo Osaka3-0Kawasaki Frontale
- Kawasaki Frontale0-0Cerezo Osaka
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Cerezo Osaka: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cerezo Osaka | Kawasaki Frontale | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.6 | 1.4 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cerezo Osaka 3–2–1 Kawasaki Frontale
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/25 Japan J-League | Cerezo Osaka | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Kawasaki Frontale |
| 18/05/25 Japan J-League | Kawasaki Frontale | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Cerezo Osaka |
| 14/07/24 Japan J-League | Kawasaki Frontale | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Cerezo Osaka |
| 13/04/24 Japan J-League | Cerezo Osaka | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kawasaki Frontale |
| 02/09/23 Japan J-League | Cerezo Osaka | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Kawasaki Frontale |
| 18/03/23 Japan J-League | Kawasaki Frontale | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cerezo Osaka |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 21 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 19 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 13 |
| 11 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 12 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 9 |
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 9 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 17 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 6 |
| 19 | JEF Utd Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 5 |
| 20 | Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cerezo Osaka | Kawasaki Frontale |
|---|---|---|
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1-6 L | 1-1 D |
| Tokyo Verdy | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Shimizu S-Pulse | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Kawasaki Frontale (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cerezo Osaka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-3 | 1-6 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 06/09 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 02/09 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 29/08 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
Kawasaki Frontale
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 02/09 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
4-2 | 4-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cerezo Osaka win (46%). Probabilities: Cerezo Osaka 46%, draw 26%, Kawasaki Frontale 28%.
How many goals are expected in Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Cerezo Osaka 1.72 · Kawasaki Frontale 1.29), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.