Football · Japan J-League · 11/10, 08:00
Prediction: Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Team pages: Tokyo Verdy · Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Tokyo Verdy1.14
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.71
1X2
Tokyo Verdy
Draw
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Tokyo Verdy
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tokyo Verdy
0–5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
(5 last)
- Tokyo Verdy0-3Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima2-1Tokyo Verdy
- Tokyo Verdy0-1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima4-1Tokyo Verdy
- Tokyo Verdy2-3Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima (rating 1471 vs 1611).
- H2H favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 5-0-0.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tokyo Verdy | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.8 | 2.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.1 | 2.9 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 2.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tokyo Verdy 0–0–5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/25 Japan J-League | Tokyo Verdy | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| 17/05/25 Japan J-League | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Tokyo Verdy |
| 07/08/24 Japan J-League | Tokyo Verdy | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| 15/06/24 Japan J-League | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Tokyo Verdy |
| 22/05/24 Japan J-League Cup | Tokyo Verdy | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 19 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 18 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 13 |
| 8 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 8 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 6 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tokyo Verdy | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
|---|---|---|
| Urawa Red Diamonds | 1-3 L | 4-1 W |
| JEF Utd Chiba | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Cerezo Osaka | 0-0 D | 6-1 W |
| Fagiano Okayama | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tokyo Verdy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 02/09 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 14/08 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 16 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
3-0 | 6-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 02/09 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win (49%). Probabilities: Tokyo Verdy 24%, draw 26%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 49%.
How many goals are expected in Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Tokyo Verdy 1.14 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.71), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.