Football · Japan J-League · 11/10, 09:00

Prediction: Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus

Team pages: Kawasaki Frontale · Nagoya Grampus

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.64Total

Kawasaki Frontale2.4

Nagoya Grampus1.24

1X2

62% 20% 18%

Kawasaki Frontale Draw Nagoya Grampus

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Kawasaki Frontale 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DWDDDWLWWD

Nagoya Grampus 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWLLLL

Head-to-head

Kawasaki Frontale 3–3 Nagoya Grampus (6 last)

Nagoya Grampus3-4Kawasaki Frontale
Kawasaki Frontale4-0Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus2-0Kawasaki Frontale
Kawasaki Frontale2-1Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus2-0Kawasaki Frontale
Kawasaki Frontale1-2Nagoya Grampus

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kawasaki Frontale (rating 1565 vs 1447).
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kawasaki Frontale	Nagoya Grampus
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.4	1 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 5	1.6 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.82 → 1.82	Pinn 1.82
X	3.98 → 3.98	Pinn 3.98
2	3.96 → 3.96	Pinn 3.96

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.4%

Time*	1	X	2
21:43 +183’	1.82	3.98	3.96

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kawasaki Frontale 3–0–3 Nagoya Grampus

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/08/25 Japan J-League	Nagoya Grampus	3-4 HT 2-2	Kawasaki Frontale
15/02/25 Japan J-League	Kawasaki Frontale	4-0 HT 0-0	Nagoya Grampus
22/09/24 Japan J-League	Nagoya Grampus	2-0 HT 1-0	Kawasaki Frontale
02/06/24 Japan J-League	Kawasaki Frontale	2-1 HT 2-0	Nagoya Grampus
01/07/23 Japan J-League	Nagoya Grampus	2-0 HT 1-0	Kawasaki Frontale
15/04/23 Japan J-League	Kawasaki Frontale	1-2 HT 0-2	Nagoya Grampus

Standings · Japan J-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	8	6	1	1	12	5	19
2	Kashiwa Reysol	8	6	0	2	17	12	18
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	8	5	2	1	20	6	17
4	Machida Zelvia	8	5	2	1	21	10	17
5	FC Tokyo	8	5	2	1	14	8	17
6	Yokohama F-Marinos	8	4	2	2	13	9	14
7	Kawasaki Frontale	8	3	4	1	16	12	13
8	Kashima Antlers	8	4	1	3	17	16	13
9	Fagiano Okayama	8	4	1	3	11	10	13
10	Urawa Red Diamonds	8	4	0	4	16	18	12
11	Cerezo Osaka	8	3	2	3	7	12	11
12	Shimizu S-Pulse	8	3	1	4	6	8	10
13	Mito Hollyhock	8	2	3	3	11	11	9
14	Kyoto Sanga FC	8	2	2	4	11	15	8
15	V-Varen Nagasaki	8	2	2	4	10	15	8
16	Gamba Osaka	8	1	3	4	8	14	6
17	Nagoya Grampus	8	2	0	6	7	14	6
18	Avispa Fukuoka	8	1	1	6	9	12	4
19	Tokyo Verdy	8	0	4	4	4	12	4
20	JEF Utd Chiba	8	1	1	6	7	18	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kawasaki Frontale	Nagoya Grampus
Kashima Antlers	3-3 D	1-2 L
Shimizu S-Pulse	3-1 W	0-1 L
Machida Zelvia	1-2 L	1-3 L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1-1 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Kawasaki Frontale (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kawasaki Frontale

DWDDDWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League	1-1	3-3	3	4	D
12/09	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
06/09	Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League	1-0	3-1	8	5	W
02/09	Machida Zelvia Japan J-League	0-0	1-2	2	0	L
29/08	JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League	4-2	4-2	5	6	W
22/08	Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
15/08	Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League	1-0	2-2	6	3	D
09/08	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
24/05	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	0-0	3-1	3	0	W
17/05	Machida Zelvia Japan J-League	0-1	1-1	9	2	D

Nagoya Grampus

LLLLWWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	FC Tokyo Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
12/09	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
06/09	Machida Zelvia Japan J-League	0-1	1-3	6	3	L
02/09	Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League	0-0	0-3	1	3	L
29/08	Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
22/08	Gamba Osaka Japan J-League	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
15/08	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
08/08	Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League	0-1	0-1	13	2	L
23/05	Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League	1-2	2-4	6	1	L
17/05	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	1-3	1-6	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kawasaki Frontale win (62%). Probabilities: Kawasaki Frontale 62%, draw 20%, Nagoya Grampus 18%.

How many goals are expected in Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus?

The model expects 3.64 goals (Kawasaki Frontale 2.4 · Nagoya Grampus 1.24), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.