Football · Japan J-League · 10/10, 07:00
Prediction: Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F-Marinos
Team pages: Cerezo Osaka · Yokohama F-Marinos
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
Cerezo Osaka1.56
Yokohama F-Marinos1.46
1X2
Cerezo Osaka
Draw
Yokohama F-Marinos
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Cerezo Osaka
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Yokohama F-Marinos
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cerezo Osaka
2–1–3
Yokohama F-Marinos
(6 last)
- Yokohama F-Marinos3-1Cerezo Osaka
- Cerezo Osaka1-0Yokohama F-Marinos
- Yokohama F-Marinos4-0Cerezo Osaka
- Cerezo Osaka2-2Yokohama F-Marinos
- Yokohama F-Marinos2-0Cerezo Osaka
- Cerezo Osaka2-1Yokohama F-Marinos
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yokohama F-Marinos (rating 1534 vs 1574).
- H2H favours Yokohama F-Marinos: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cerezo Osaka | Yokohama F-Marinos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.5 | 1.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.5 | 1.9 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cerezo Osaka 2–1–3 Yokohama F-Marinos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/25 Japan J-League | Yokohama F-Marinos | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Cerezo Osaka |
| 11/05/25 Japan J-League | Cerezo Osaka | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Yokohama F-Marinos |
| 24/08/24 Japan J-League | Yokohama F-Marinos | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Cerezo Osaka |
| 27/04/24 Japan J-League | Cerezo Osaka | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Yokohama F-Marinos |
| 12/11/23 Japan J-League | Yokohama F-Marinos | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Cerezo Osaka |
| 01/04/23 Japan J-League | Cerezo Osaka | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Yokohama F-Marinos |
Standings · Japan J-League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 19 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 18 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 13 |
| 8 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 8 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 6 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cerezo Osaka | Yokohama F-Marinos |
|---|---|---|
| Tokyo Verdy | 0-0 D | 6-0 W |
| Kashiwa Reysol | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Vissel Kobe | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Shimizu S-Pulse | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Yokohama F-Marinos (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cerezo Osaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-3 | 1-6 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 06/09 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 02/09 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 29/08 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
3-1 | 6-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
Yokohama F-Marinos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/09 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 15/08 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 07/08 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
2-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
3-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F-Marinos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cerezo Osaka win (39%). Probabilities: Cerezo Osaka 39%, draw 26%, Yokohama F-Marinos 35%.
How many goals are expected in Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F-Marinos?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Cerezo Osaka 1.56 · Yokohama F-Marinos 1.46), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F-Marinos?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.