Football · Japan J-League · 29/08, 11:30

Prediction: Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol

Team pages: Shimizu S-Pulse · Kashiwa Reysol

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.25Total

Shimizu S-Pulse1.15

Kashiwa Reysol1.1

1X2

36% 31% 33%

Shimizu S-Pulse Draw Kashiwa Reysol

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Shimizu S-Pulse 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWDDLLWLL

Kashiwa Reysol 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1–4 Kashiwa Reysol (6 last)

Shimizu S-Pulse0-2Kashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol1-0Shimizu S-Pulse
Shimizu S-Pulse1-1Kashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol3-1Shimizu S-Pulse
Shimizu S-Pulse0-1Kashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol1-2Shimizu S-Pulse

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kashiwa Reysol (rating 1476 vs 1523).
H2H favours Kashiwa Reysol: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shimizu S-Pulse	Kashiwa Reysol
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.3	1.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.1	2.5 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.3	1.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.05

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:37

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.39 → 3.39	Pinn 3.39
X	3.32 → 3.32	Pinn 3.32
2	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:34 +3’	3.39	3.32	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1–4 Kashiwa Reysol

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/06/25 Japan J-League	Shimizu S-Pulse	0-2 HT 0-2	Kashiwa Reysol
06/05/25 Japan J-League	Kashiwa Reysol	1-0 HT 0-0	Shimizu S-Pulse
20/08/22 Japan J-League	Shimizu S-Pulse	1-1 HT 1-0	Kashiwa Reysol
29/05/22 Japan J-League	Kashiwa Reysol	3-1 HT 2-0	Shimizu S-Pulse
16/10/21 Japan J-League	Shimizu S-Pulse	0-1 HT 0-0	Kashiwa Reysol
21/03/21 Japan J-League	Kashiwa Reysol	1-2 HT 0-2	Shimizu S-Pulse

Standings · Japan J-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kashiwa Reysol	3	3	0	0	9	4	9
2	Kashima Antlers	3	3	0	0	9	6	9
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3	2	1	0	8	2	7
4	Machida Zelvia	2	2	0	0	9	1	6
5	Yokohama F-Marinos	3	2	0	1	5	4	6
6	Cerezo Osaka	3	2	0	1	3	4	6
7	Mito Hollyhock	3	1	1	1	5	4	4
8	Vissel Kobe	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
9	Fagiano Okayama	3	1	1	1	2	2	4
10	Gamba Osaka	3	1	1	1	6	7	4
11	FC Tokyo	3	1	1	1	5	7	4
12	Avispa Fukuoka	3	1	0	2	5	4	3
13	Kawasaki Frontale	3	0	3	0	4	4	3
13	Nagoya Grampus	3	1	0	2	4	4	3
15	Shimizu S-Pulse	3	1	0	2	1	2	3
16	V-Varen Nagasaki	3	1	0	2	4	6	3
17	Tokyo Verdy	3	0	2	1	2	4	2
18	Kyoto Sanga FC	3	0	1	2	4	7	1
19	Urawa Red Diamonds	2	0	0	2	4	8	0
20	JEF Utd Chiba	3	0	0	3	0	9	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shimizu S-Pulse	Kashiwa Reysol
Yokohama F-Marinos	0-1 L	1-0 W
V-Varen Nagasaki	1-2 L	4-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Kashiwa Reysol (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shimizu S-Pulse

LLWDDLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
15/08	Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
08/08	Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
24/05	Gamba Osaka Japan J-League	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
17/05	Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
10/05	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
06/05	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
02/05	Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League	0-1	2-1	10	7	W
29/04	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
25/04	Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League	0-1	0-2	1	0	L

Kashiwa Reysol

LLLLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	1-0	4-2	8	1	W
14/08	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	1-1	3-1	5	3	W
08/08	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	2-0	2-1	1	1	W
23/05	JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League	2-1	4-2	6	3	W
16/05	Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
10/05	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	4	0	W
06/05	Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
03/05	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	10	1	L
29/04	FC Tokyo Japan J-League	0-1	1-3	5	1	L
24/04	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League	0-1	0-1	8	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shimizu S-Pulse win (36%). Probabilities: Shimizu S-Pulse 36%, draw 31%, Kashiwa Reysol 33%.

How many goals are expected in Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol?

The model expects 2.25 goals (Shimizu S-Pulse 1.15 · Kashiwa Reysol 1.1), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.