Football · Japan J-League · 11/10, 08:00
Prediction: Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse
Team pages: Mito Hollyhock · Shimizu S-Pulse
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Mito Hollyhock1.1
Shimizu S-Pulse1.19
1X2
Mito Hollyhock
Draw
Shimizu S-Pulse
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Mito Hollyhock
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Shimizu S-Pulse
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mito Hollyhock
0–3–3
Shimizu S-Pulse
(6 last)
- Mito Hollyhock2-2Shimizu S-Pulse
- Shimizu S-Pulse2-1Mito Hollyhock
- Mito Hollyhock1-1Shimizu S-Pulse
- Shimizu S-Pulse0-0Mito Hollyhock
- Shimizu S-Pulse2-1Mito Hollyhock
- Shimizu S-Pulse3-0Mito Hollyhock
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mito Hollyhock 1488 · Shimizu S-Pulse 1494
| Mito Hollyhock | Draw | Shimizu S-Pulse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 31% | 37% |
| Market | 33% | 29% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Shimizu S-Pulse: 3-3-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mito Hollyhock | Shimizu S-Pulse | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.2 | 2.7 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mito Hollyhock 0–3–3 Shimizu S-Pulse
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/24 Japan J2-League | Mito Hollyhock | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Shimizu S-Pulse |
| 26/05/24 Japan J2-League | Shimizu S-Pulse | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Mito Hollyhock |
| 12/11/23 Japan J2-League | Mito Hollyhock | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Shimizu S-Pulse |
| 18/02/23 Japan J2-League | Shimizu S-Pulse | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Mito Hollyhock |
| 18/09/16 Japan J2-League | Shimizu S-Pulse | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Mito Hollyhock |
| 03/09/16 Japan FA Cup | Shimizu S-Pulse | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Mito Hollyhock |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 19 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 18 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 13 |
| 8 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 8 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 6 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mito Hollyhock | Shimizu S-Pulse |
|---|---|---|
| Yokohama F-Marinos | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Avispa Fukuoka | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Gamba Osaka | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Kashiwa Reysol | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mito Hollyhock
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 02/09 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
2-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 15/08 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
Shimizu S-Pulse
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/09 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 29/08 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 22/08 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Shimizu S-Pulse win (37%). Probabilities: Mito Hollyhock 33%, draw 30%, Shimizu S-Pulse 37%.
How many goals are expected in Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Mito Hollyhock 1.1 · Shimizu S-Pulse 1.19), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.