Football · Japan J3-League · 22/08, 12:00
Prediction: Tochigi SC vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
Team pages: Tochigi SC · Giravanz Kitakyushu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Tochigi SC1.46
Giravanz Kitakyushu0.92
1X2
Tochigi SC
Draw
Giravanz Kitakyushu
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Tochigi SC
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tochigi SC
1–2–3
Giravanz Kitakyushu
(6 last)
- Tochigi SC1-1Giravanz Kitakyushu
- Tochigi SC0-1Giravanz Kitakyushu
- Giravanz Kitakyushu0-0Tochigi SC
- Giravanz Kitakyushu1-2Tochigi SC
- Tochigi SC1-2Giravanz Kitakyushu
- Giravanz Kitakyushu1-0Tochigi SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tochigi SC 1491 · Giravanz Kitakyushu 1456
| Tochigi SC | Draw | Giravanz Kitakyushu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 29% | 23% |
| Market | 49% | 28% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Giravanz Kitakyushu: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tochigi SC | Giravanz Kitakyushu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 5.1 | 1.5 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tochigi SC 1–2–3 Giravanz Kitakyushu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Tochigi SC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Giravanz Kitakyushu |
| 05/10/25 Japan J3-League | Tochigi SC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Giravanz Kitakyushu |
| 03/05/25 Japan J3-League | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tochigi SC |
| 28/11/21 Japan J2-League | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Tochigi SC |
| 05/05/21 Japan J2-League | Tochigi SC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Giravanz Kitakyushu |
| 15/11/20 Japan J2-League | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tochigi SC |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Gifu | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Kagoshima United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Sagamihara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | FC Osaka | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Tochigi SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 9 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Parceiro Nagano | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Reilac Shiga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Roasso Kumamoto | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Matsumoto Y FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Gainare Tottori | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 16 | Kochi United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
| 17 | FC Ryukyu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Fukushima Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 | Thespa Gunma | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 | Nara Club | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tochigi SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan FA Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 07/06 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Yokohama FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 06/05 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
Giravanz Kitakyushu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Okinawa SV Japan FA Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | Tochigi SC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Kagoshima United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Reilac Shiga Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Gainare Tottori Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 06/05 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Oita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tochigi SC vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tochigi SC win (49%). Probabilities: Tochigi SC 49%, draw 28%, Giravanz Kitakyushu 23%.
How many goals are expected in Tochigi SC vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Tochigi SC 1.46 · Giravanz Kitakyushu 0.92), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tochigi SC vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.