Football · Japan J3-League · 29/08, 11:00

Prediction: FC Gifu vs Tochigi SC

Team pages: FC Gifu · Tochigi SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

FC Gifu1.4

Tochigi SC1.26

1X2

39% 28% 33%

FC Gifu Draw Tochigi SC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Gifu 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLLWWD

Tochigi SC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWWWDD

Head-to-head

FC Gifu 1–3–2 Tochigi SC (6 last)

Tochigi SC1-2FC Gifu
FC Gifu0-1Tochigi SC
FC Gifu0-0Tochigi SC
Tochigi SC1-1FC Gifu
Tochigi SC4-1FC Gifu
FC Gifu1-1Tochigi SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Gifu 1503 · Tochigi SC 1490

	FC Gifu	Draw	Tochigi SC
Our model	39%	28%	33%
Market	39%	28%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tochigi SC: 2-3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Gifu	Tochigi SC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.7	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.9	2 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.2	2.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.20

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
08:59 +12’	2.30	3.20	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Gifu 1–3–2 Tochigi SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/11/25 Japan J3-League	Tochigi SC	1-2 HT 1-0	FC Gifu
13/04/25 Japan J3-League	FC Gifu	0-1 HT 0-1	Tochigi SC
07/09/19 Japan J2-League	FC Gifu	0-0 HT 0-0	Tochigi SC
28/04/19 Japan J2-League	Tochigi SC	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Gifu
04/08/18 Japan J2-League	Tochigi SC	4-1 HT 2-1	FC Gifu
21/03/18 Japan J2-League	FC Gifu	1-1 HT 0-1	Tochigi SC

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Gifu	3	2	1	0	10	0	7
2	Ehime FC	3	2	1	0	10	3	7
3	Sagamihara	3	2	1	0	6	2	7
4	Kagoshima United	3	2	1	0	4	1	7
5	Parceiro Nagano	3	2	0	1	4	4	6
6	Reilac Shiga	3	2	0	1	6	7	6
7	FC Osaka	3	1	2	0	7	5	5
8	Tochigi SC	3	1	2	0	5	4	5
9	Kamatamare Sanuki	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
10	Gainare Tottori	3	1	1	1	3	6	4
11	Kochi United	3	1	1	1	2	8	4
12	Zweigen Kanazawa	3	1	0	2	7	8	3
13	Renofa Yamaguchi	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
14	Nara Club	3	1	0	2	5	8	3
15	Giravanz Kitakyushu	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
16	Matsumoto Y FC	3	0	2	1	4	5	2
17	Roasso Kumamoto	3	0	2	1	0	1	2
18	FC Ryukyu	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
19	Fukushima Utd	3	0	0	3	5	8	0
20	Thespa Gunma	3	0	0	3	3	8	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Gifu	Tochigi SC
Kagoshima United	0-0 D	2-0 W
FC Osaka	2-3 L	1-0 W
Gainare Tottori	2-4 L	2-1 W
Zweigen Kanazawa	1-4 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Tochigi SC (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Gifu

LLWLWLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
15/08	Kochi United Japan J3-League	3-0	7-0	5	4	W
09/08	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	0-0	3-0	2	2	W
29/11	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	1-0	2-3	8	1	L
23/11	Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J3-League	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
15/11	Tochigi City Japan J3-League	1-0	2-0	8	1	W
09/11	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	1-2	2-4	5	3	L
02/11	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	0-1	2-1	5	2	W
25/10	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	1-1	1-3	5	3	L
19/10	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	1-1	1-4	5	0	L

Tochigi SC

LWLWLWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	0-0	2-2	7	4	D
15/08	Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
09/08	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	1-1	3-2	6	2	W
29/11	Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League	1-0	4-0	6	0	W
23/11	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
16/11	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
09/11	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	0-0	2-0	3	0	W
02/11	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	1-0	1-2	5	2	L
24/10	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
19/10	Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J3-League	0-2	0-2	9	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Gifu vs Tochigi SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Gifu win (39%). Probabilities: FC Gifu 39%, draw 28%, Tochigi SC 33%.

How many goals are expected in FC Gifu vs Tochigi SC?

The model expects 2.66 goals (FC Gifu 1.4 · Tochigi SC 1.26), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Gifu vs Tochigi SC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.