Prediction: Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Y FC
Team pages: Giravanz Kitakyushu · Matsumoto Y FC
- Matsumoto Y FC2-1Giravanz Kitakyushu
- Giravanz Kitakyushu1-2Matsumoto Y FC
- Giravanz Kitakyushu0-0Matsumoto Y FC
- Matsumoto Y FC1-1Giravanz Kitakyushu
- Matsumoto Y FC1-0Giravanz Kitakyushu
- Giravanz Kitakyushu2-4Matsumoto Y FC
| Giravanz Kitakyushu | Draw | Matsumoto Y FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 26% | 33% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Matsumoto Y FC: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Giravanz Kitakyushu | Matsumoto Y FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.4 | 2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Giravanz Kitakyushu 0–2–4 Matsumoto Y FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/25 Japan J3-League | Matsumoto Y FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Giravanz Kitakyushu |
| 26/04/25 Japan J3-League | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Matsumoto Y FC |
| 20/07/24 Japan J3-League | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Matsumoto Y FC |
| 18/05/24 Japan J3-League | Matsumoto Y FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Giravanz Kitakyushu |
| 05/11/23 Japan J3-League | Matsumoto Y FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Giravanz Kitakyushu |
| 09/04/23 Japan J3-League | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Matsumoto Y FC |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Gifu | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Sagamihara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Kagoshima United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Parceiro Nagano | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Reilac Shiga | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 7 | FC Osaka | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 9 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Gainare Tottori | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 11 | Kochi United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
| 12 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 3 |
| 13 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Nara Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Matsumoto Y FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 17 | Roasso Kumamoto | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 18 | FC Ryukyu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 19 | Fukushima Utd | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 | Thespa Gunma | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Giravanz Kitakyushu | Matsumoto Y FC |
|---|---|---|
| Kamatamare Sanuki | 4-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Kagoshima United | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Giravanz Kitakyushu (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giravanz Kitakyushu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Tochigi SC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 29/11 | Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/11 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 16/11 | Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League |
0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/11 | Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 02/11 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/10 | FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 19/10 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | Kagoshima United Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 05/10 | Tochigi SC Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
Matsumoto Y FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Ehime FC Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Kochi United Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 29/11 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 23/11 | Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League |
2-2 | 2-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/11 | FC Osaka Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 09/11 | Kochi United Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 05/11 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/11 | Kagoshima United Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 26/10 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Y FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Giravanz Kitakyushu win (40%). Probabilities: Giravanz Kitakyushu 40%, draw 27%, Matsumoto Y FC 33%.
How many goals are expected in Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Y FC?
The model expects 3.09 goals (Giravanz Kitakyushu 1.64 · Matsumoto Y FC 1.46), with a 59% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Y FC?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.