Football · Japan J3-League · 22/08, 11:00
Prediction: Matsumoto Y FC vs Ehime FC
Team pages: Matsumoto Y FC · Ehime FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
Matsumoto Y FC1.22
Ehime FC1.45
1X2
Matsumoto Y FC
Draw
Ehime FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Matsumoto Y FC
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Ehime FC
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Matsumoto Y FC
1–2–3
Ehime FC
(6 last)
- Ehime FC1-1Matsumoto Y FC
- Matsumoto Y FC1-1Ehime FC
- Matsumoto Y FC2-1Ehime FC
- Ehime FC3-2Matsumoto Y FC
- Matsumoto Y FC0-1Ehime FC
- Ehime FC3-1Matsumoto Y FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matsumoto Y FC 1480 · Ehime FC 1527
| Matsumoto Y FC | Draw | Ehime FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 28% | 41% |
| Market | 31% | 28% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ehime FC (rating 1480 vs 1527).
- H2H favours Ehime FC: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Matsumoto Y FC | Ehime FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.7 | 2.7 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 1.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matsumoto Y FC 1–2–3 Ehime FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/23 Japan J3-League | Ehime FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Matsumoto Y FC |
| 01/07/23 Japan J3-League | Matsumoto Y FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Ehime FC |
| 03/09/22 Japan J3-League | Matsumoto Y FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Ehime FC |
| 18/06/22 Japan J3-League | Ehime FC | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Matsumoto Y FC |
| 22/08/21 Japan J2-League | Matsumoto Y FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ehime FC |
| 21/04/21 Japan J2-League | Ehime FC | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Matsumoto Y FC |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Gifu | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Kagoshima United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Sagamihara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | FC Osaka | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Tochigi SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 9 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Parceiro Nagano | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Reilac Shiga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Roasso Kumamoto | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Matsumoto Y FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Gainare Tottori | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 16 | Kochi United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
| 17 | FC Ryukyu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Fukushima Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 | Thespa Gunma | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 | Nara Club | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Matsumoto Y FC | Ehime FC |
|---|---|---|
| Kochi United | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Nara Club | 0-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Fujieda MYFC | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ehime FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matsumoto Y FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Kochi United Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Ventforet Kofu World Club Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 06/06 | Nara Club Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Fukushima Utd Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Iwaki FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | FC Gifu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
Ehime FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | International Pacific University Japan FA Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 06/06 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Kochi United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 06/05 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
2-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matsumoto Y FC vs Ehime FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ehime FC win (41%). Probabilities: Matsumoto Y FC 31%, draw 28%, Ehime FC 41%.
How many goals are expected in Matsumoto Y FC vs Ehime FC?
The model expects 2.67 goals (Matsumoto Y FC 1.22 · Ehime FC 1.45), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Matsumoto Y FC vs Ehime FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.