Football · Japan J3-League · 22/08, 11:00

Prediction: Nara Club vs Renofa Yamaguchi

Team pages: Nara Club · Renofa Yamaguchi

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.61Total
Nara Club1.58
Renofa Yamaguchi2.02
1X2
28% 26% 46%
Nara Club Draw Renofa Yamaguchi
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Nara Club 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
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Renofa Yamaguchi 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nara Club 1481 · Renofa Yamaguchi 1484
Nara ClubDrawRenofa Yamaguchi
Our model30%23%47%
Market27%28%45%
Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +1.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Nara ClubRenofa Yamaguchi
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 2.21.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 1.10.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)0.9 / 2.51.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 02.4 / 0

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Gifu 2200 1006
2 Ehime FC 2200 816
3 Kagoshima United 2200 416
4 Sagamihara 2110 414
5 FC Osaka 2110 534
6 Tochigi SC 2110 324
7 Kamatamare Sanuki 2110 214
8 Zweigen Kanazawa 2101 663
9 Renofa Yamaguchi 2101 113
10 Parceiro Nagano 2101 343
11 Reilac Shiga 2101 353
12 Roasso Kumamoto 2020 002
13 Giravanz Kitakyushu 1010 001
14 Matsumoto Y FC 2011 231
15 Gainare Tottori 2011 151
16 Kochi United 2011 071
17 FC Ryukyu 1001 010
18 Fukushima Utd 2002 460
19 Thespa Gunma 2002 150
20 Nara Club 2002 270

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nara Club

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/08 FC Osaka
Japan FA Cup
1-1 1-4 32 L
16/08 Kagoshima United
Japan J3-League
1-1 1-3 14 L
09/08 Ehime FC
Japan J3-League
0-3 1-4 30 L
06/06 Matsumoto Y FC
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
2-0 2-0 06 W
30/05 Oita
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-3 3-3 60 D
23/05 Kataller Toyama
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
3-0 5-1 02 W
16/05 Albirex Niigata
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-0 1-2 22 L
10/05 Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
1-0 2-1 51 W
06/05 FC Osaka
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-2 1-3 54 L
03/05 FC Imabari
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
2-1 2-1 02 W

Renofa Yamaguchi

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/08 Kagoshima United
Japan FA Cup
0-2 1-2 84 L
15/08 FC Ryukyu
Japan J3-League
1-0 1-0 93 W
08/08 Parceiro Nagano
Japan J3-League
0-1 0-1 61 L
06/06 Yokohama FC
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-1 1-2 14 L
30/05 Kochi United
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
2-0 2-2 12 D
23/05 Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
1-0 1-1 83 D
16/05 Sagan Tosu
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-0 1-1 21 D
09/05 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-1 0-1 34 L
06/05 Reilac Shiga
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
2-0 4-1 70 W
02/05 Gainare Tottori
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-3 1-4 12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nara Club vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Renofa Yamaguchi win (46%). Probabilities: Nara Club 28%, draw 26%, Renofa Yamaguchi 46%.

How many goals are expected in Nara Club vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

The model expects 3.61 goals (Nara Club 1.58 · Renofa Yamaguchi 2.02), with a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Nara Club vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.