Football · Japan J3-League · 22/08, 12:00
Prediction: Gainare Tottori vs Fukushima Utd
Team pages: Gainare Tottori · Fukushima Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.57Total
Gainare Tottori1.78
Fukushima Utd1.78
1X2
Gainare Tottori
Draw
Fukushima Utd
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Gainare Tottori
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Fukushima Utd
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gainare Tottori
2–2–2
Fukushima Utd
(6 last)
- Gainare Tottori1-2Fukushima Utd
- Fukushima Utd3-0Gainare Tottori
- Fukushima Utd2-3Gainare Tottori
- Gainare Tottori1-0Fukushima Utd
- Gainare Tottori2-2Fukushima Utd
- Fukushima Utd0-0Gainare Tottori
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gainare Tottori 1506 · Fukushima Utd 1498
| Gainare Tottori | Draw | Fukushima Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 24% | 38% |
| Market | 36% | 28% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +1.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gainare Tottori | Fukushima Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.6 | 2.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.5 | 2.2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gainare Tottori 2–2–2 Fukushima Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/25 Japan J3-League | Gainare Tottori | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Fukushima Utd |
| 30/03/25 Japan J3-League | Fukushima Utd | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Gainare Tottori |
| 15/09/24 Japan J3-League | Fukushima Utd | 2-3 HT 1-3 | Gainare Tottori |
| 06/04/24 Japan J3-League | Gainare Tottori | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Fukushima Utd |
| 16/09/23 Japan J3-League | Gainare Tottori | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Fukushima Utd |
| 15/04/23 Japan J3-League | Fukushima Utd | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gainare Tottori |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Gifu | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Kagoshima United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Sagamihara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | FC Osaka | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Tochigi SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 9 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Parceiro Nagano | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Reilac Shiga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Roasso Kumamoto | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Matsumoto Y FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Gainare Tottori | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 16 | Kochi United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
| 17 | FC Ryukyu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Fukushima Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 | Thespa Gunma | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 | Nara Club | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gainare Tottori | Fukushima Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Zweigen Kanazawa | 3-1 W | 3-4 L |
| FC Ryukyu | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Gainare Tottori (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gainare Tottori
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan FA Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 16/08 | Ehime FC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | FC Osaka Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 06/06 | FC Gifu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Oita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Ryukyu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Reilac Shiga Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 06/05 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
Fukushima Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Oyama SC Japan FA Cup |
3-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
2-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | FC Ryukyu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/06 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Matsumoto Y FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gainare Tottori vs Fukushima Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gainare Tottori win (37%). Probabilities: Gainare Tottori 37%, draw 26%, Fukushima Utd 37%.
How many goals are expected in Gainare Tottori vs Fukushima Utd?
The model expects 3.57 goals (Gainare Tottori 1.78 · Fukushima Utd 1.78), with a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Gainare Tottori vs Fukushima Utd?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.