Football · Japan J3-League · 22/08, 12:00
Prediction: Roasso Kumamoto vs Parceiro Nagano
Team pages: Roasso Kumamoto · Parceiro Nagano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Roasso Kumamoto1.33
Parceiro Nagano0.91
1X2
Roasso Kumamoto
Draw
Parceiro Nagano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Roasso Kumamoto
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Parceiro Nagano
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Roasso Kumamoto
2–1–3
Parceiro Nagano
(6 last)
- Parceiro Nagano0-2Roasso Kumamoto
- Roasso Kumamoto2-0Parceiro Nagano
- Parceiro Nagano1-0Roasso Kumamoto
- Roasso Kumamoto1-2Parceiro Nagano
- Parceiro Nagano1-0Roasso Kumamoto
- Roasso Kumamoto2-2Parceiro Nagano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Roasso Kumamoto 1514 · Parceiro Nagano 1484
| Roasso Kumamoto | Draw | Parceiro Nagano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 31% | 24% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Parceiro Nagano: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Roasso Kumamoto | Parceiro Nagano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.6 | 2.5 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.2 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Roasso Kumamoto 2–1–3 Parceiro Nagano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/21 Japan J3-League | Parceiro Nagano | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Roasso Kumamoto |
| 16/05/21 Japan J3-League | Roasso Kumamoto | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Parceiro Nagano |
| 07/10/20 Japan J3-League | Parceiro Nagano | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Roasso Kumamoto |
| 09/09/20 Japan J3-League | Roasso Kumamoto | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Parceiro Nagano |
| 08/12/19 Japan J3-League | Parceiro Nagano | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Roasso Kumamoto |
| 10/03/19 Japan J3-League | Roasso Kumamoto | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Parceiro Nagano |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Gifu | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Kagoshima United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Sagamihara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | FC Osaka | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Tochigi SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 9 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Parceiro Nagano | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Reilac Shiga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Roasso Kumamoto | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Matsumoto Y FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Gainare Tottori | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 16 | Kochi United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
| 17 | FC Ryukyu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Fukushima Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 | Thespa Gunma | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 | Nara Club | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Roasso Kumamoto | Parceiro Nagano |
|---|---|---|
| Tochigi SC | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Renofa Yamaguchi | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Parceiro Nagano (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roasso Kumamoto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Gainare Tottori Japan FA Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Tochigi SC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 08/08 | Sagamihara Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 06/06 | Sagamihara Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Ehime FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Kagoshima United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Ryukyu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 06/05 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Reilac Shiga Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Parceiro Nagano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Fukui United Japan FA Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | FC Osaka Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | Iwaki FC World Club Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/06 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Tochigi SC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | FC Gifu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roasso Kumamoto vs Parceiro Nagano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Roasso Kumamoto win (46%). Probabilities: Roasso Kumamoto 46%, draw 28%, Parceiro Nagano 26%.
How many goals are expected in Roasso Kumamoto vs Parceiro Nagano?
The model expects 2.25 goals (Roasso Kumamoto 1.33 · Parceiro Nagano 0.91), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Roasso Kumamoto vs Parceiro Nagano?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.