Prediction: Thespa Gunma vs Fukushima Utd
Team pages: Thespa Gunma · Fukushima Utd
- Thespa Gunma1-2Fukushima Utd
- Fukushima Utd2-4Thespa Gunma
- Fukushima Utd1-2Thespa Gunma
- Thespa Gunma2-0Fukushima Utd
- Thespa Gunma1-0Fukushima Utd
- Fukushima Utd2-1Thespa Gunma
| Thespa Gunma | Draw | Fukushima Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 24% | 37% |
| Market | 38% | 26% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Thespa Gunma: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Thespa Gunma | Fukushima Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.4 | 3.1 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.2 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thespa Gunma 4–0–2 Fukushima Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/25 Japan J3-League | Thespa Gunma | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Fukushima Utd |
| 06/05/25 Japan J3-League | Fukushima Utd | 2-4 HT 0-2 | Thespa Gunma |
| 08/12/19 Japan J3-League | Fukushima Utd | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Thespa Gunma |
| 07/07/19 Japan J3-League | Thespa Gunma | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Fukushima Utd |
| 21/10/18 Japan J3-League | Thespa Gunma | 1-0 | Fukushima Utd |
| 11/03/18 Japan J3-League | Fukushima Utd | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Thespa Gunma |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Gifu | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Ehime FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Sagamihara | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Parceiro Nagano | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Reilac Shiga | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 7 | FC Osaka | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 9 | FC Ryukyu | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | Nara Club | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 4 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 13 | Kochi United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
| 14 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 17 | Matsumoto Y FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 18 | Roasso Kumamoto | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 19 | Fukushima Utd | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 1 |
| 20 | Thespa Gunma | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Thespa Gunma | Fukushima Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Azul Claro Numazu | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Zweigen Kanazawa | 3-1 W | 3-4 L |
| Nara Club | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Thespa Gunma (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thespa Gunma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League |
0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Sagamihara Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Kagoshima United Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 29/11 | Kochi United Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/11 | Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League |
2-2 | 6-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 16/11 | Azul Claro Numazu Japan J3-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 09/11 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 02/11 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 25/10 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Fukushima Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
2-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 29/11 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/11 | Azul Claro Numazu Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 16/11 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/11 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/11 | FC Osaka Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 26/10 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thespa Gunma vs Fukushima Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Thespa Gunma win (38%). Probabilities: Thespa Gunma 38%, draw 25%, Fukushima Utd 37%.
How many goals are expected in Thespa Gunma vs Fukushima Utd?
The model expects 3.63 goals (Thespa Gunma 1.83 · Fukushima Utd 1.8), with a 59% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Thespa Gunma vs Fukushima Utd?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.