Football · Japan J3-League · 05/09, 11:00

Prediction: FC Gifu vs Zweigen Kanazawa

Team pages: FC Gifu · Zweigen Kanazawa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.47Total

FC Gifu1.99

Zweigen Kanazawa1.48

1X2

48% 25% 27%

FC Gifu Draw Zweigen Kanazawa

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Gifu 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLWWDW

Zweigen Kanazawa 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLLWLL

Head-to-head

FC Gifu 1–1–4 Zweigen Kanazawa (6 last)

Zweigen Kanazawa4-1FC Gifu
FC Gifu1-2Zweigen Kanazawa
FC Gifu1-0Zweigen Kanazawa
Zweigen Kanazawa0-0FC Gifu
Zweigen Kanazawa2-1FC Gifu
FC Gifu2-3Zweigen Kanazawa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Gifu 1514 · Zweigen Kanazawa 1479

	FC Gifu	Draw	Zweigen Kanazawa
Our model	49%	24%	28%
Market	47%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Zweigen Kanazawa: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Gifu	Zweigen Kanazawa
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.4	1.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.8	2.4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.2	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.40

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.49
2	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.75 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:16 +24’	1.90	3.40	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:39 +1’	1.85	3.49	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Gifu 1–1–4 Zweigen Kanazawa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/10/25 Japan J3-League	Zweigen Kanazawa	4-1 HT 1-1	FC Gifu
16/03/25 Japan J3-League	FC Gifu	1-2 HT 1-0	Zweigen Kanazawa
28/09/24 Japan J3-League	FC Gifu	1-0 HT 1-0	Zweigen Kanazawa
28/04/24 Japan J3-League	Zweigen Kanazawa	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Gifu
17/08/19 Japan J2-League	Zweigen Kanazawa	2-1 HT 2-0	FC Gifu
12/05/19 Japan J2-League	FC Gifu	2-3 HT 0-1	Zweigen Kanazawa

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Gifu	4	3	1	0	14	1	10
2	Kagoshima United	4	3	1	0	8	4	10
3	Ehime FC	3	2	1	0	10	3	7
4	Sagamihara	4	2	1	1	7	4	7
5	Parceiro Nagano	3	2	0	1	4	4	6
6	Reilac Shiga	3	2	0	1	6	7	6
7	FC Osaka	3	1	2	0	7	5	5
8	Tochigi SC	4	1	2	1	6	8	5
9	FC Ryukyu	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	4	1	1	2	6	7	4
11	Nara Club	4	1	1	2	7	10	4
12	Gainare Tottori	3	1	1	1	3	6	4
13	Kochi United	3	1	1	1	2	8	4
14	Zweigen Kanazawa	3	1	0	2	7	8	3
15	Renofa Yamaguchi	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
16	Giravanz Kitakyushu	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
17	Matsumoto Y FC	3	0	2	1	4	5	2
18	Roasso Kumamoto	3	0	2	1	0	1	2
19	Fukushima Utd	4	0	1	3	7	10	1
20	Thespa Gunma	3	0	0	3	3	8	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Gifu	Zweigen Kanazawa
Tochigi SC	4-1 W	2-3 L
Kagoshima United	0-0 D	4-2 W
FC Osaka	2-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Gifu

LWLWLLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	3-0	4-1	4	1	W
22/08	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
15/08	Kochi United Japan J3-League	3-0	7-0	5	4	W
09/08	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	0-0	3-0	2	2	W
29/11	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	1-0	2-3	8	1	L
23/11	Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J3-League	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
15/11	Tochigi City Japan J3-League	1-0	2-0	8	1	W
09/11	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	1-2	2-4	5	3	L
02/11	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	0-1	2-1	5	2	W
25/10	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	1-1	1-3	5	3	L

Zweigen Kanazawa

LLWLWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Ehime FC Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
23/08	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
15/08	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	0-2	4-3	6	3	W
09/08	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	1-1	2-3	5	2	L
07/12	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
29/11	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	3-1	4-2	6	4	W
23/11	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	1-0	1-2	2	1	L
16/11	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
09/11	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
02/11	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	1-1	1-3	9	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Gifu vs Zweigen Kanazawa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Gifu win (48%). Probabilities: FC Gifu 48%, draw 25%, Zweigen Kanazawa 27%.

How many goals are expected in FC Gifu vs Zweigen Kanazawa?

The model expects 3.47 goals (FC Gifu 1.99 · Zweigen Kanazawa 1.48), with a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Gifu vs Zweigen Kanazawa?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.