Football · Japan J3-League · 03/10, 10:00

Prediction: Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kochi United

Team pages: Giravanz Kitakyushu · Kochi United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

Giravanz Kitakyushu1.4

Kochi United1.17

1X2

41% 28% 30%

Giravanz Kitakyushu Draw Kochi United

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Giravanz Kitakyushu 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDDLLLWD

Kochi United 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLLDLL

Head-to-head

Giravanz Kitakyushu 0–2 Kochi United (2 last)

Giravanz Kitakyushu0-2Kochi United
Kochi United3-2Giravanz Kitakyushu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Giravanz Kitakyushu 1459 · Kochi United 1400

	Giravanz Kitakyushu	Draw	Kochi United
Our model	41%	29%	30%
Market	41%	28%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Giravanz Kitakyushu (rating 1459 vs 1400).
H2H favours Kochi United: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Giravanz Kitakyushu	Kochi United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.2	0.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.8	1.3 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.20

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:22 +9’	2.15	3.20	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Giravanz Kitakyushu 0–0–2 Kochi United

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
27/09/25 Japan J3-League	Giravanz Kitakyushu	0-2 HT 0-1	Kochi United
21/06/25 Japan J3-League	Kochi United	3-2 HT 0-1	Giravanz Kitakyushu

Standings · Japan J3-League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kagoshima United	8	6	2	0	16	8	20
2	Ehime FC	8	5	2	1	19	9	17
3	FC Osaka	8	4	4	0	17	7	16
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	8	4	2	2	11	7	14
5	Nara Club	8	4	2	2	18	16	14
6	FC Gifu	8	4	1	3	19	8	13
7	Roasso Kumamoto	8	3	4	1	7	4	13
8	Sagamihara	8	3	3	2	14	10	12
9	Reilac Shiga	8	4	0	4	14	14	12
10	FC Ryukyu	8	3	2	3	10	10	11
11	Parceiro Nagano	8	3	2	3	11	12	11
12	Zweigen Kanazawa	8	3	1	4	14	13	10
13	Gainare Tottori	8	3	1	4	11	18	10
14	Tochigi SC	8	2	3	3	11	14	9
15	Matsumoto Y FC	8	1	5	2	8	10	8
16	Fukushima Utd	8	2	1	5	16	20	7
17	Giravanz Kitakyushu	8	1	4	3	10	16	7
18	Thespa Gunma	8	2	0	6	7	15	6
19	Kochi United	8	1	2	5	3	18	5
20	Kamatamare Sanuki	8	1	1	6	10	17	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Giravanz Kitakyushu	Kochi United
Matsumoto Y FC	1-1 D	0-0 D
Tochigi SC	2-2 D	0-2 L
Zweigen Kanazawa	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Giravanz Kitakyushu (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Giravanz Kitakyushu

LWLDDLLLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	0-0	1-1	9	1	D
20/09	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
12/09	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	1-2	2-4	11	1	L
09/09	FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League	0-0	0-3	2	1	L
05/09	Ehime FC Japan J3-League	1-2	2-4	4	4	L
30/08	Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
22/08	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	0-0	2-2	3	4	D
29/11	Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
23/11	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	0-1	2-1	9	1	W
16/11	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	0-3	2-3	2	4	L

Kochi United

LLDLWLLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-1	0-4	2	2	L
19/09	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
13/09	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	1-1	1-1	3	4	D
05/09	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	0-1	0-2	9	1	L
30/08	Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League	0-2	0-2	2	4	L
23/08	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
15/08	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	0-3	0-7	4	4	L
08/08	Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
29/11	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
24/11	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	4	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kochi United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Giravanz Kitakyushu win (41%). Probabilities: Giravanz Kitakyushu 41%, draw 28%, Kochi United 30%.

How many goals are expected in Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kochi United?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Giravanz Kitakyushu 1.4 · Kochi United 1.17), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kochi United?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.