Football · Japan J3-League · 10/10, 07:00

Prediction: Nara Club vs Giravanz Kitakyushu

Team pages: Nara Club · Giravanz Kitakyushu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

Nara Club2.02

Giravanz Kitakyushu1.54

1X2

47% 25% 28%

Nara Club Draw Giravanz Kitakyushu

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Nara Club 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLLWDDWWWW

Giravanz Kitakyushu 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLDDLLLWDW

Head-to-head

Nara Club 2–1–3 Giravanz Kitakyushu (6 last)

Giravanz Kitakyushu0-1Nara Club
Nara Club4-0Giravanz Kitakyushu
Nara Club0-2Giravanz Kitakyushu
Giravanz Kitakyushu2-1Nara Club
Nara Club0-1Giravanz Kitakyushu
Giravanz Kitakyushu1-1Nara Club

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nara Club 1510 · Giravanz Kitakyushu 1474

	Nara Club	Draw	Giravanz Kitakyushu
Our model	48%	23%	29%
Market	47%	26%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Giravanz Kitakyushu: 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nara Club	Giravanz Kitakyushu
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.8	1.5 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.5	2.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0.1	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.50

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:25 +49’	1.91	3.50	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nara Club 2–1–3 Giravanz Kitakyushu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/25 Japan J3-League	Giravanz Kitakyushu	0-1 HT 0-0	Nara Club
05/07/25 Japan J3-League	Nara Club	4-0 HT 1-0	Giravanz Kitakyushu
24/08/24 Japan J3-League	Nara Club	0-2 HT 0-1	Giravanz Kitakyushu
16/06/24 Japan J3-League	Giravanz Kitakyushu	2-1 HT 1-1	Nara Club
06/08/23 Japan J3-League	Nara Club	0-1 HT 0-0	Giravanz Kitakyushu
11/06/23 Japan J3-League	Giravanz Kitakyushu	1-1 HT 0-0	Nara Club

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ehime FC	9	6	2	1	22	10	20
2	Kagoshima United	8	6	2	0	16	8	20
3	Renofa Yamaguchi	9	5	2	2	13	7	17
4	Nara Club	9	5	2	2	19	16	17
5	FC Osaka	9	4	4	1	17	8	16
6	Sagamihara	9	4	3	2	15	10	15
7	Roasso Kumamoto	9	3	5	1	7	4	14
8	FC Gifu	9	4	1	4	19	10	13
9	Zweigen Kanazawa	9	4	1	4	16	13	13
10	Reilac Shiga	9	4	1	4	14	14	13
11	Gainare Tottori	9	4	1	4	12	18	13
12	Parceiro Nagano	9	3	2	4	11	13	11
13	FC Ryukyu	9	3	2	4	10	12	11
14	Tochigi SC	9	2	4	3	11	14	10
15	Giravanz Kitakyushu	9	2	4	3	12	16	10
16	Matsumoto Y FC	9	1	5	3	8	11	8
17	Fukushima Utd	8	2	1	5	16	20	7
18	Thespa Gunma	9	2	0	7	8	18	6
19	Kamatamare Sanuki	9	1	2	6	10	17	5
20	Kochi United	9	1	2	6	3	20	5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nara Club	Giravanz Kitakyushu
Gainare Tottori	3-2 W	2-4 L
Kagoshima United	1-3 L	1-1 D
Ehime FC	1-4 L	2-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Giravanz Kitakyushu (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nara Club

LLLWDDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
26/09	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	2-0	4-1	5	2	W
19/09	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	2-0	3-2	7	2	W
12/09	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
06/09	Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League	1-2	2-2	5	3	D
29/08	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	0-0	2-2	2	2	D
22/08	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	1-1	3-1	5	3	W
16/08	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	1-1	1-3	1	4	L
09/08	Ehime FC Japan J3-League	0-3	1-4	3	0	L
29/11	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	0-0	1-2	4	0	L

Giravanz Kitakyushu

WLDDLLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Kochi United Japan J3-League	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
26/09	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	0-0	1-1	9	1	D
20/09	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
12/09	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	1-2	2-4	11	1	L
09/09	FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League	0-0	0-3	2	1	L
05/09	Ehime FC Japan J3-League	1-2	2-4	4	4	L
30/08	Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
22/08	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	0-0	2-2	3	4	D
29/11	Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
23/11	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	0-1	2-1	9	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nara Club vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nara Club win (47%). Probabilities: Nara Club 47%, draw 25%, Giravanz Kitakyushu 28%.

How many goals are expected in Nara Club vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

The model expects 3.57 goals (Nara Club 2.02 · Giravanz Kitakyushu 1.54), with a 58% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Nara Club vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.