Football · Japan J3-League · 09/10, 12:00
Prediction: FC Osaka vs Zweigen Kanazawa
Team pages: FC Osaka · Zweigen Kanazawa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
FC Osaka1.46
Zweigen Kanazawa1.3
1X2
FC Osaka
Draw
Zweigen Kanazawa
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Osaka
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Zweigen Kanazawa
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Osaka
2–3–1
Zweigen Kanazawa
(6 last)
- FC Osaka1-1Zweigen Kanazawa
- Zweigen Kanazawa0-0FC Osaka
- FC Osaka1-0Zweigen Kanazawa
- Zweigen Kanazawa2-1FC Osaka
- FC Osaka1-0Zweigen Kanazawa
- FC Osaka1-1Zweigen Kanazawa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Osaka 1555 · Zweigen Kanazawa 1488
| FC Osaka | Draw | Zweigen Kanazawa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 28% | 32% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Osaka (rating 1555 vs 1488).
- H2H favours FC Osaka: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Osaka | Zweigen Kanazawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.2 | 2.1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Osaka 2–3–1 Zweigen Kanazawa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | FC Osaka | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Zweigen Kanazawa |
| 22/03/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Zweigen Kanazawa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Osaka |
| 07/12/25 Japan J3-League | FC Osaka | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Zweigen Kanazawa |
| 07/09/25 Japan J3-League | Zweigen Kanazawa | 2-1 HT 2-0 | FC Osaka |
| 23/03/25 Japan J3-League | FC Osaka | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Zweigen Kanazawa |
| 30/08/24 Japan J3-League | FC Osaka | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Zweigen Kanazawa |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehime FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Osaka | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Sagamihara | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 15 |
| 7 | Roasso Kumamoto | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | FC Gifu | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 10 | 13 |
| 9 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 13 |
| 10 | Reilac Shiga | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
| 11 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 13 |
| 12 | Parceiro Nagano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Ryukyu | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 15 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
| 16 | Matsumoto Y FC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | Fukushima Utd | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 7 |
| 18 | Thespa Gunma | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 6 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Osaka | Zweigen Kanazawa |
|---|---|---|
| Sagamihara | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Kochi United | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Fukushima Utd | 4-1 W | 4-3 W |
| Ehime FC | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Renofa Yamaguchi | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| FC Ryukyu | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Gainare Tottori | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Osaka (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Osaka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Sagamihara Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 26/09 | Kochi United Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/09 | Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 14/09 | Ehime FC Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 30/08 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 16/08 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 14/12 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 9 | 4 | L |
Zweigen Kanazawa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 26/09 | Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 13/09 | Kochi United Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | FC Gifu Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Ehime FC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Sagamihara Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 4-3 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Tochigi SC Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 07/12 | FC Osaka Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Osaka vs Zweigen Kanazawa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Osaka win (40%). Probabilities: FC Osaka 40%, draw 28%, Zweigen Kanazawa 33%.
How many goals are expected in FC Osaka vs Zweigen Kanazawa?
The model expects 2.76 goals (FC Osaka 1.46 · Zweigen Kanazawa 1.3), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Osaka vs Zweigen Kanazawa?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.