Football · Japan J3-League · 11/10, 07:00
Prediction: Gainare Tottori vs FC Gifu
Team pages: Gainare Tottori · FC Gifu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
Gainare Tottori1.3
FC Gifu1.94
1X2
Gainare Tottori
Draw
FC Gifu
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Gainare Tottori
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
FC Gifu
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gainare Tottori
3–1–2
FC Gifu
(6 last)
- FC Gifu1-1Gainare Tottori
- FC Gifu2-4Gainare Tottori
- Gainare Tottori3-0FC Gifu
- FC Gifu0-1Gainare Tottori
- Gainare Tottori2-4FC Gifu
- FC Gifu3-1Gainare Tottori
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gainare Tottori 1547 · FC Gifu 1458
| Gainare Tottori | Draw | FC Gifu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 24% | 51% |
| Market | 24% | 25% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gainare Tottori (rating 1547 vs 1458).
- H2H favours Gainare Tottori: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gainare Tottori | FC Gifu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.9 | 2.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.8 | 2.5 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 2.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gainare Tottori 3–1–2 FC Gifu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | FC Gifu | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Gainare Tottori |
| 09/11/25 Japan J3-League | FC Gifu | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Gainare Tottori |
| 23/03/25 Japan J3-League | Gainare Tottori | 3-0 HT 0-0 | FC Gifu |
| 28/07/24 Japan J3-League | FC Gifu | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Gainare Tottori |
| 22/06/24 Japan J3-League | Gainare Tottori | 2-4 HT 0-0 | FC Gifu |
| 26/08/23 Japan J3-League | FC Gifu | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Gainare Tottori |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 | Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 20 |
| 4 | Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 18 |
| 5 | FC Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
| 7 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 14 |
| 8 | Roasso Kumamoto | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 14 |
| 9 | Reilac Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 10 | Parceiro Nagano | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| 11 | FC Gifu | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 10 | 13 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 13 |
| 13 | FC Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 11 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 15 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
| 16 | Thespa Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 9 |
| 17 | Matsumoto Y FC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | Fukushima Utd | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 25 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gainare Tottori | FC Gifu |
|---|---|---|
| Zweigen Kanazawa | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Nara Club | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Renofa Yamaguchi | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Reilac Shiga | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| FC Osaka | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Gifu (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gainare Tottori
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/09 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Ehime FC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | FC Osaka Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 29/11 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
FC Gifu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League |
3-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Tochigi SC Japan J3-League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Kagoshima United Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 15/08 | Kochi United Japan J3-League |
3-0 | 7-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 29/11 | FC Osaka Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gainare Tottori vs FC Gifu?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Gifu win (51%). Probabilities: Gainare Tottori 24%, draw 24%, FC Gifu 51%.
How many goals are expected in Gainare Tottori vs FC Gifu?
The model expects 3.24 goals (Gainare Tottori 1.3 · FC Gifu 1.94), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Gainare Tottori vs FC Gifu?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.