Prediction: Thespa Gunma vs FC Ryukyu
Team pages: Thespa Gunma · FC Ryukyu
- FC Ryukyu3-2Thespa Gunma
- Thespa Gunma0-0FC Ryukyu
- Thespa Gunma0-0FC Ryukyu
- FC Ryukyu0-1Thespa Gunma
- FC Ryukyu0-1Thespa Gunma
- Thespa Gunma0-2FC Ryukyu
| Thespa Gunma | Draw | FC Ryukyu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 27% | 36% |
| Market | 36% | 28% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Thespa Gunma | FC Ryukyu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.8 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.1 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.4 | 1.8 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.2 | 1.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thespa Gunma 2–2–2 FC Ryukyu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/25 Japan J3-League | FC Ryukyu | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Thespa Gunma |
| 15/02/25 Japan J3-League | Thespa Gunma | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Ryukyu |
| 14/09/22 Japan J2-League | Thespa Gunma | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Ryukyu |
| 16/04/22 Japan J2-League | FC Ryukyu | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Thespa Gunma |
| 18/09/21 Japan J2-League | FC Ryukyu | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Thespa Gunma |
| 14/03/21 Japan J2-League | Thespa Gunma | 0-2 HT 0-0 | FC Ryukyu |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehime FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Osaka | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Sagamihara | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 15 |
| 7 | Roasso Kumamoto | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | FC Gifu | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 10 | 13 |
| 9 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 13 |
| 10 | Reilac Shiga | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
| 11 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 13 |
| 12 | Parceiro Nagano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Ryukyu | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 15 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
| 16 | Matsumoto Y FC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | Fukushima Utd | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 7 |
| 18 | Thespa Gunma | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 6 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Thespa Gunma | FC Ryukyu |
|---|---|---|
| Ehime FC | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Renofa Yamaguchi | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Reilac Shiga | 2-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Sagamihara | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Kagoshima United | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 5 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Ryukyu (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thespa Gunma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Ehime FC Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 26/09 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Kochi United Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League |
0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Sagamihara Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Kagoshima United Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 29/11 | Kochi United Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
FC Ryukyu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 26/09 | Ehime FC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 20/09 | Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/09 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Kagoshima United Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Sagamihara Japan J3-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | FC Osaka Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 15/08 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/11 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thespa Gunma vs FC Ryukyu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Thespa Gunma win (36%). Probabilities: Thespa Gunma 36%, draw 28%, FC Ryukyu 36%.
How many goals are expected in Thespa Gunma vs FC Ryukyu?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Thespa Gunma 1.43 · FC Ryukyu 1.43), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Thespa Gunma vs FC Ryukyu?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.