Football · Japan J3-League · 10/10, 07:00

Prediction: Kochi United vs Parceiro Nagano

Team pages: Kochi United · Parceiro Nagano

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Kochi United1.07

Parceiro Nagano1.19

1X2

32% 29% 38%

Kochi United Draw Parceiro Nagano

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Kochi United 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLDLLL

Parceiro Nagano 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWLDDWLL

Head-to-head

Kochi United 2–0 Parceiro Nagano (2 last)

Parceiro Nagano0-1Kochi United
Kochi United1-0Parceiro Nagano

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kochi United 1403 · Parceiro Nagano 1448

	Kochi United	Draw	Parceiro Nagano
Our model	31%	31%	37%
Market	33%	28%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Parceiro Nagano (rating 1403 vs 1448).
H2H favours Kochi United: 2-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kochi United	Parceiro Nagano
Goals for / against (FT)	0.3 / 2.1	1.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.2	2.5 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	1.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.20

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.05

2 (0)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
05:12 +2’	2.70	3.20	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kochi United 2–0–0 Parceiro Nagano

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/11/25 Japan J3-League	Parceiro Nagano	0-1 HT 0-1	Kochi United
29/06/25 Japan J3-League	Kochi United	1-0 HT 0-0	Parceiro Nagano

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ehime FC	9	6	2	1	22	10	20
2	Kagoshima United	8	6	2	0	16	8	20
3	Renofa Yamaguchi	9	5	2	2	13	7	17
4	Nara Club	9	5	2	2	19	16	17
5	FC Osaka	9	4	4	1	17	8	16
6	Sagamihara	9	4	3	2	15	10	15
7	Roasso Kumamoto	9	3	5	1	7	4	14
8	FC Gifu	9	4	1	4	19	10	13
9	Zweigen Kanazawa	9	4	1	4	16	13	13
10	Reilac Shiga	9	4	1	4	14	14	13
11	Gainare Tottori	9	4	1	4	12	18	13
12	Parceiro Nagano	9	3	2	4	11	13	11
13	FC Ryukyu	9	3	2	4	10	12	11
14	Tochigi SC	9	2	4	3	11	14	10
15	Giravanz Kitakyushu	9	2	4	3	12	16	10
16	Matsumoto Y FC	9	1	5	3	8	11	8
17	Fukushima Utd	8	2	1	5	16	20	7
18	Thespa Gunma	9	2	0	7	8	18	6
19	Kamatamare Sanuki	9	1	2	6	10	17	5
20	Kochi United	9	1	2	6	3	20	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kochi United	Parceiro Nagano
FC Osaka	0-4 L	2-4 L
Thespa Gunma	0-1 L	1-2 L
Tochigi SC	0-2 L	1-1 D
Roasso Kumamoto	0-2 L	1-0 W
FC Gifu	0-7 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Parceiro Nagano (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kochi United

LDLWLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
26/09	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-1	0-4	2	2	L
19/09	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
13/09	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League	1-1	1-1	3	4	D
05/09	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	0-1	0-2	9	1	L
30/08	Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League	0-2	0-2	2	4	L
23/08	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
15/08	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	0-3	0-7	4	4	L
08/08	Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
29/11	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	0-1	0-1	3	3	L

Parceiro Nagano

LWLWLDDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Nara Club Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	8	1	L
26/09	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	1-1	3-4	5	1	L
20/09	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
13/09	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	1-0	1-1	3	0	D
05/09	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
30/08	Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
22/08	Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League	1-0	1-0	7	0	W
16/08	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	1-1	2-4	4	2	L
08/08	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
29/11	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	0-1	0-4	3	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kochi United vs Parceiro Nagano?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Parceiro Nagano win (38%). Probabilities: Kochi United 32%, draw 29%, Parceiro Nagano 38%.

How many goals are expected in Kochi United vs Parceiro Nagano?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Kochi United 1.07 · Parceiro Nagano 1.19), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kochi United vs Parceiro Nagano?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.