Football · Japan J3-League · 03/10, 10:00

Prediction: FC Ryukyu vs Zweigen Kanazawa

Team pages: FC Ryukyu · Zweigen Kanazawa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

FC Ryukyu1.29

Zweigen Kanazawa1.6

1X2

30% 27% 44%

FC Ryukyu Draw Zweigen Kanazawa

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Ryukyu 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDLDWLWWLD

Zweigen Kanazawa 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLWDLW

Head-to-head

FC Ryukyu 4–1–1 Zweigen Kanazawa (6 last)

FC Ryukyu1-0Zweigen Kanazawa
Zweigen Kanazawa1-2FC Ryukyu
Zweigen Kanazawa1-2FC Ryukyu
FC Ryukyu1-2Zweigen Kanazawa
Zweigen Kanazawa1-2FC Ryukyu
FC Ryukyu1-1Zweigen Kanazawa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Ryukyu 1491 · Zweigen Kanazawa 1480

	FC Ryukyu	Draw	Zweigen Kanazawa
Our model	30%	27%	44%
Market	30%	26%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Ryukyu: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Ryukyu	Zweigen Kanazawa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.2	1.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.2	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.3	2.1 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.40

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:22 +9’	3.00	3.40	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Ryukyu 4–1–1 Zweigen Kanazawa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/09/25 Japan J3-League	FC Ryukyu	1-0 HT 1-0	Zweigen Kanazawa
01/06/25 Japan J3-League	Zweigen Kanazawa	1-2 HT 1-1	FC Ryukyu
24/08/24 Japan J3-League	Zweigen Kanazawa	1-2 HT 1-1	FC Ryukyu
30/06/24 Japan J3-League	FC Ryukyu	1-2 HT 0-2	Zweigen Kanazawa
09/10/22 Japan J2-League	Zweigen Kanazawa	1-2 HT 1-2	FC Ryukyu
27/04/22 Japan J2-League	FC Ryukyu	1-1 HT 0-1	Zweigen Kanazawa

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kagoshima United	8	6	2	0	16	8	20
2	Ehime FC	8	5	2	1	19	9	17
3	FC Osaka	8	4	4	0	17	7	16
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	8	4	2	2	11	7	14
5	Nara Club	8	4	2	2	18	16	14
6	FC Gifu	8	4	1	3	19	8	13
7	Roasso Kumamoto	8	3	4	1	7	4	13
8	Sagamihara	8	3	3	2	14	10	12
9	Reilac Shiga	8	4	0	4	14	14	12
10	FC Ryukyu	8	3	2	3	10	10	11
11	Parceiro Nagano	8	3	2	3	11	12	11
12	Zweigen Kanazawa	8	3	1	4	14	13	10
13	Gainare Tottori	8	3	1	4	11	18	10
14	Tochigi SC	8	2	3	3	11	14	9
15	Matsumoto Y FC	8	1	5	2	8	10	8
16	Fukushima Utd	8	2	1	5	16	20	7
17	Giravanz Kitakyushu	8	1	4	3	10	16	7
18	Thespa Gunma	8	2	0	6	7	15	6
19	Kochi United	8	1	2	5	3	18	5
20	Kamatamare Sanuki	8	1	1	6	10	17	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Ryukyu	Zweigen Kanazawa
Ehime FC	1-1 D	0-1 L
Kagoshima United	1-2 L	4-2 W
Sagamihara	2-1 W	1-2 L
FC Osaka	2-2 D	0-1 L
Renofa Yamaguchi	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Ryukyu (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Ryukyu

DDLDWLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Ehime FC Japan J3-League	0-0	1-1	7	0	D
20/09	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
13/09	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J3-League	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
09/09	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	0-0	3-0	4	1	W
05/09	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	0-0	1-2	7	2	L
29/08	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	2-0	2-1	8	2	W
22/08	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	1-0	2-2	8	1	D
15/08	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
29/11	Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J3-League	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
23/11	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	1-0	1-1	4	3	D

Zweigen Kanazawa

WLLWLLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	1-0	4-1	5	3	W
20/09	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
13/09	Kochi United Japan J3-League	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
05/09	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
30/08	Ehime FC Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
23/08	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
15/08	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	0-2	4-3	6	3	W
09/08	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	1-1	2-3	5	2	L
07/12	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
29/11	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	3-1	4-2	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Ryukyu vs Zweigen Kanazawa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Zweigen Kanazawa win (44%). Probabilities: FC Ryukyu 30%, draw 27%, Zweigen Kanazawa 44%.

How many goals are expected in FC Ryukyu vs Zweigen Kanazawa?

The model expects 2.88 goals (FC Ryukyu 1.29 · Zweigen Kanazawa 1.6), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Ryukyu vs Zweigen Kanazawa?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.