Football · Japan J3-League · 18/10, 07:00
Prediction: Kamatamare Sanuki vs Roasso Kumamoto
Team pages: Kamatamare Sanuki · Roasso Kumamoto
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
Kamatamare Sanuki0.91
Roasso Kumamoto1.33
1X2
Kamatamare Sanuki
Draw
Roasso Kumamoto
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Kamatamare Sanuki
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Roasso Kumamoto
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kamatamare Sanuki
0–3–3
Roasso Kumamoto
(6 last)
- Roasso Kumamoto0-0Kamatamare Sanuki
- Kamatamare Sanuki1-2Roasso Kumamoto
- Roasso Kumamoto3-0Kamatamare Sanuki
- Kamatamare Sanuki1-2Roasso Kumamoto
- Kamatamare Sanuki2-2Roasso Kumamoto
- Roasso Kumamoto0-0Kamatamare Sanuki
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kamatamare Sanuki 1420 · Roasso Kumamoto 1502
| Kamatamare Sanuki | Draw | Roasso Kumamoto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 31% | 45% |
| Market | 26% | 26% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roasso Kumamoto (rating 1420 vs 1502).
- H2H favours Roasso Kumamoto: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kamatamare Sanuki | Roasso Kumamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.2 | 1.9 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kamatamare Sanuki 0–3–3 Roasso Kumamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/21 Japan J3-League | Roasso Kumamoto | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Kamatamare Sanuki |
| 26/06/21 Japan J3-League | Kamatamare Sanuki | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Roasso Kumamoto |
| 13/12/20 Japan J3-League | Roasso Kumamoto | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Kamatamare Sanuki |
| 25/07/20 Japan J3-League | Kamatamare Sanuki | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Roasso Kumamoto |
| 29/09/19 Japan J3-League | Kamatamare Sanuki | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Roasso Kumamoto |
| 24/03/19 Japan J3-League | Roasso Kumamoto | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Kamatamare Sanuki |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 13 | 26 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Nara Club | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 23 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 20 |
| 5 | FC Gifu | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | FC Osaka | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 14 |
| 9 | Roasso Kumamoto | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 |
| 10 | Reilac Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 11 | Parceiro Nagano | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | FC Ryukyu | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Gainare Tottori | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 14 |
| 14 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 13 |
| 15 | Matsumoto Y FC | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| 16 | Tochigi SC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 10 |
| 17 | Thespa Gunma | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 10 |
| 18 | Fukushima Utd | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 26 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kamatamare Sanuki | Roasso Kumamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Sagamihara | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Tochigi SC | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Ehime FC | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Reilac Shiga | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Kochi United | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Fukushima Utd | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Roasso Kumamoto (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kamatamare Sanuki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Sagamihara Japan J3-League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/10 | Tochigi SC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 26/09 | FC Gifu Japan J3-League |
2-3 | 3-4 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Ehime FC Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Kagoshima United Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Kochi United Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 29/11 | Azul Claro Numazu Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
Roasso Kumamoto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Ehime FC Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/10 | Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 26/09 | Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/09 | Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 12/09 | Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Kochi United Japan J3-League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 0 | L |
| 15/08 | Tochigi SC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Sagamihara Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kamatamare Sanuki vs Roasso Kumamoto?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Roasso Kumamoto win (46%). Probabilities: Kamatamare Sanuki 25%, draw 28%, Roasso Kumamoto 46%.
How many goals are expected in Kamatamare Sanuki vs Roasso Kumamoto?
The model expects 2.24 goals (Kamatamare Sanuki 0.91 · Roasso Kumamoto 1.33), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Kamatamare Sanuki vs Roasso Kumamoto?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.