Football · Japan J3-League · 21/10, 06:00
Prediction: Fukushima Utd vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
Team pages: Fukushima Utd · Giravanz Kitakyushu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.83Total
Fukushima Utd2.06
Giravanz Kitakyushu1.77
1X2
Fukushima Utd
Draw
Giravanz Kitakyushu
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Fukushima Utd
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Giravanz Kitakyushu
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fukushima Utd
4–1–1
Giravanz Kitakyushu
(6 last)
- Giravanz Kitakyushu1-2Fukushima Utd
- Fukushima Utd1-0Giravanz Kitakyushu
- Fukushima Utd1-0Giravanz Kitakyushu
- Giravanz Kitakyushu2-1Fukushima Utd
- Giravanz Kitakyushu1-2Fukushima Utd
- Fukushima Utd1-1Giravanz Kitakyushu
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fukushima Utd 1448 · Giravanz Kitakyushu 1472
| Fukushima Utd | Draw | Giravanz Kitakyushu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 23% | 33% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.83 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Fukushima Utd: 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fukushima Utd | Giravanz Kitakyushu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.4 | 1.5 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.4 | 2.3 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fukushima Utd 4–1–1 Giravanz Kitakyushu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/25 Japan J3-League | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Fukushima Utd |
| 12/04/25 Japan J3-League | Fukushima Utd | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Giravanz Kitakyushu |
| 31/08/24 Japan J3-League | Fukushima Utd | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Giravanz Kitakyushu |
| 29/06/24 Japan J3-League | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Fukushima Utd |
| 26/11/23 Japan J3-League | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Fukushima Utd |
| 22/07/23 Japan J3-League | Fukushima Utd | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Giravanz Kitakyushu |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 13 | 26 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 23 |
| 5 | Sagamihara | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 21 |
| 6 | FC Gifu | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 10 | 19 |
| 7 | FC Osaka | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | Roasso Kumamoto | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 17 |
| 9 | Parceiro Nagano | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 17 |
| 10 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 14 |
| 11 | Reilac Shiga | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 18 | 14 |
| 12 | FC Ryukyu | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Gainare Tottori | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 14 |
| 14 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 13 |
| 15 | Matsumoto Y FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
| 16 | Tochigi SC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 10 |
| 17 | Thespa Gunma | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 10 |
| 18 | Fukushima Utd | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 26 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 25 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fukushima Utd | Giravanz Kitakyushu |
|---|---|---|
| Kagoshima United | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| FC Osaka | 1-4 L | 3-1 W |
| Nara Club | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Gainare Tottori | 1-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fukushima Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | FC Gifu Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 04/10 | Kagoshima United Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 26/09 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 4-3 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/09 | FC Osaka Japan J3-League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 12/09 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Thespa Gunma Japan J3-League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
2-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
Giravanz Kitakyushu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | FC Osaka Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | Nara Club Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/10 | Kochi United Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/09 | Kagoshima United Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 20/09 | Sagamihara Japan J3-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 09/09 | FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Ehime FC Japan J3-League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Tochigi SC Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fukushima Utd vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fukushima Utd win (44%). Probabilities: Fukushima Utd 44%, draw 24%, Giravanz Kitakyushu 32%.
How many goals are expected in Fukushima Utd vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?
The model expects 3.83 goals (Fukushima Utd 2.06 · Giravanz Kitakyushu 1.77), with a 59% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Fukushima Utd vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.