Football · Japan J3-League · 21/10, 12:00

Prediction: Kamatamare Sanuki vs Zweigen Kanazawa

Team pages: Kamatamare Sanuki · Zweigen Kanazawa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Kamatamare Sanuki1.13

Zweigen Kanazawa1.67

1X2

25% 26% 49%

Kamatamare Sanuki Draw Zweigen Kanazawa

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Kamatamare Sanuki 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

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Zweigen Kanazawa 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Kamatamare Sanuki 1–1–4 Zweigen Kanazawa (6 last)

Kamatamare Sanuki0-1Zweigen Kanazawa
Zweigen Kanazawa1-0Kamatamare Sanuki
Zweigen Kanazawa2-1Kamatamare Sanuki
Kamatamare Sanuki1-1Zweigen Kanazawa
Zweigen Kanazawa1-3Kamatamare Sanuki
Kamatamare Sanuki0-1Zweigen Kanazawa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kamatamare Sanuki 1380 · Zweigen Kanazawa 1513

	Kamatamare Sanuki	Draw	Zweigen Kanazawa
Our model	25%	27%	49%
Market	25%	26%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zweigen Kanazawa (rating 1380 vs 1513).
H2H favours Zweigen Kanazawa: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kamatamare Sanuki	Zweigen Kanazawa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.3	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.2	2.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.50

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.93

2 (-0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	1.91 → 1.83▼	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
07:54 +9’	3.30	3.50	1.91
11:01 +4’	3.60▲	3.50	1.83▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kamatamare Sanuki 1–1–4 Zweigen Kanazawa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/04/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	Kamatamare Sanuki	0-1 HT 0-0	Zweigen Kanazawa
01/03/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	Zweigen Kanazawa	1-0 HT 0-0	Kamatamare Sanuki
27/09/25 Japan J3-League	Zweigen Kanazawa	2-1 HT 0-0	Kamatamare Sanuki
02/03/25 Japan J3-League	Kamatamare Sanuki	1-1 HT 1-1	Zweigen Kanazawa
14/09/24 Japan J3-League	Zweigen Kanazawa	1-3 HT 0-1	Kamatamare Sanuki
16/06/24 Japan J3-League	Kamatamare Sanuki	0-1 HT 0-0	Zweigen Kanazawa

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kagoshima United	11	8	2	1	23	13	26
2	Ehime FC	11	7	2	2	26	14	23
3	Renofa Yamaguchi	11	7	2	2	16	7	23
4	Nara Club	11	7	2	2	22	16	23
5	Sagamihara	11	6	3	2	20	12	21
6	FC Gifu	11	6	1	4	21	10	19
7	FC Osaka	11	4	5	2	19	12	17
8	Roasso Kumamoto	11	4	5	2	10	6	17
9	Parceiro Nagano	11	5	2	4	16	15	17
10	Zweigen Kanazawa	11	4	2	5	17	15	14
11	Reilac Shiga	11	4	2	5	16	18	14
12	FC Ryukyu	11	4	2	5	12	14	14
13	Gainare Tottori	11	4	2	5	13	20	14
14	Giravanz Kitakyushu	11	3	4	4	15	19	13
15	Matsumoto Y FC	11	2	5	4	10	13	11
16	Tochigi SC	11	2	4	5	11	16	10
17	Thespa Gunma	11	3	1	7	11	20	10
18	Fukushima Utd	11	2	2	7	20	26	8
19	Kamatamare Sanuki	11	1	2	8	12	23	5
20	Kochi United	11	1	2	8	4	25	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kamatamare Sanuki	Zweigen Kanazawa
Sagamihara	2-3 L	1-2 L
FC Gifu	3-4 L	1-0 W
Ehime FC	1-2 L	0-1 L
FC Ryukyu	0-1 L	2-0 W
Kochi United	1-2 L	1-1 D
Fukushima Utd	2-1 W	4-3 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Zweigen Kanazawa (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kamatamare Sanuki

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League	0-1	0-3	3	1	L
09/10	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	2-2	2-3	3	2	L
04/10	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
26/09	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	2-3	3-4	14	4	L
19/09	Ehime FC Japan J3-League	0-1	1-2	0	3	L
13/09	FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
05/09	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
29/08	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	1-0	3-4	6	1	L
23/08	Kochi United Japan J3-League	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
09/08	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	0-1	2-1	7	1	W

Zweigen Kanazawa

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Nara Club Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
09/10	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
03/10	FC Ryukyu Japan J3-League	0-0	2-0	3	1	W
26/09	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	1-0	4-1	5	3	W
20/09	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
13/09	Kochi United Japan J3-League	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
05/09	FC Gifu Japan J3-League	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
30/08	Ehime FC Japan J3-League	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
23/08	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
15/08	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	0-2	4-3	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kamatamare Sanuki vs Zweigen Kanazawa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Zweigen Kanazawa win (49%). Probabilities: Kamatamare Sanuki 25%, draw 26%, Zweigen Kanazawa 49%.

How many goals are expected in Kamatamare Sanuki vs Zweigen Kanazawa?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Kamatamare Sanuki 1.13 · Zweigen Kanazawa 1.67), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kamatamare Sanuki vs Zweigen Kanazawa?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.